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GOP May Kill Filibuster for Supreme Court Nominees

January 24, 2015 at 10:12 am EST By Taegan Goddard 51 Comments

“Top Senate Republicans are considering gutting the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees — a move that could yield big rewards for whichever party controls the White House and Senate after 2016,” Politico reports.

“The move, still in its early stages, reflects growing GOP confidence in its electoral prospects next year. But it could also have a major immediate impact if a justice such as 81-year-old Ruth Bader Ginsburg steps down, making it far easier for President Barack Obama to get a replacement confirmed.”

Trump Says He Would Have Beaten Obama

January 24, 2015 at 10:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard 65 Comments

Donald Trump told the Des Moines Register that the two presumed Republican presidential frontrunners, Mitt Romney and Jeb Bush, “are doomed to lose — and he expressed regret that he hadn’t run himself in 2012.

Said Trump: “I was leading in every poll. … I regret that I didn’t stay in. I would’ve won the race against Obama. He would’ve been easy. Hillary is tougher to beat than Obama, but Hillary is very beatable.”

Trump also dropped hints (again) that he might run in 2016: “It’s too early for me to say. I’ll may make a decision to run before June. But I’m strongly inclined to do so.”

Tensions Grow Over Obama Email List

January 24, 2015 at 9:57 am EST By Taegan Goddard 13 Comments

“New tensions are emerging in the relationship between allies of President Obama and Hillary Clinton,” The Hill reports.

“At issue is the fate of the political equivalent of gold dust — the enormous email list, comprised of many millions of supporters and donors, that the Obama team has compiled over the course of his two presidential campaigns. The Clinton camp would dearly love to get its hands on the list, but there is no promise as yet that the president’s aides will comply.”

Bush Gives Donors a Price List

January 23, 2015 at 3:05 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 22 Comments

“As he lines up support for a likely presidential bid, Republican Jeb Bush is offering donors the chance to join his ‘national executive committee’ – if they raise $500,000 by March 31,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“A pledge form for Mr. Bush’s newly formed Right to Rise political committee offers other levels of membership: donors who collect $250,000 by March 31 can join the ‘national committee,’ $100,000 to join the ‘state executive committee’ and $50,000 for the ‘state committee.'”

A Massive Wave of Secret Money Is Coming

January 23, 2015 at 3:01 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 6 Comments

National Journal: “The coming presidential contest is ushering in an epochal shift: the arrival of candidate-specific nonprofits, personalized vehicles for a politician’s supporters to raise and spend unlimited cash—completely clandestinely. It is poised to yield a campaign season more dominated by secret money than any election since Watergate, according to more than two dozen campaign strategists, election lawyers, donors, and worried watchdogs.”

“Already, at least four Republicans—Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, and John Kasich—are linked to nonprofits staffed by allies helping to promote their vision for America. They have used these nonprofits to poll and formulate policy, to hire operatives and travel the country, to build national networks and keep themselves in the spotlight. Such activities were once the province of campaign committees, where donors are named and expenses are tallied. But by raising money through ‘social welfare’ nonprofits, these not-yet-candidates are avoiding disclosure of both their financiers and what, exactly, they are financing.”

Christie Has Been Given 77 Diet Books

January 23, 2015 at 2:58 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 13 Comments

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s (R) office “has kept track of more than 1,100 gifts he’s received in his official capacity since taking office. The records show that gift-givers have seen fit to shower the governor with virtually every diet book, CD, DVD and weight loss kit available. Of about 600 books presented to Christie as gifts, 77 were about the topics of diet, exercise, bariatric surgery or self-help weight loss,” the Newark Star Ledger reports.

Anti-Hillary Groups Seek New Message

January 23, 2015 at 2:14 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 44 Comments

New York Times: “Few modern political figures inspire the animus that Hillary Rodham Clinton generates, and the cottage industry that opposes her never really goes out of business. But as Mrs. Clinton prepares for a likely presidential campaign in 2016, the sprawling network is evolving to attack her on new grounds.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

January 23, 2015 at 2:10 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 46 Comments

“Yeah, I mean, of course, when you have a servant’s heart, when you know that there is opportunity to do all you can to put yourself forward in the name of offering service, anybody would be interested.”

— Sarah Palin, quoted by ABC News, on whether she’s interested in running for president in 2016.

Clinton Plans Massive Fundraising Blitz

January 23, 2015 at 2:07 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 8 Comments

“Major donors are ready to announce huge financial commitments to Hillary Clinton as soon as she announces a second run for the White House, according to Clinton allies and Democratic fundraisers,” The Hill reports.

“The Clinton team wants to build excitement about her campaign launch, which is expected in March or April. The money blitz would be a show of Clinton’s strength meant to scare away potential primary rivals.”

Said one top Democratic donor: “It’s going to be like nothing you’ve seen. The numbers will be astounding.”

King Keeps a List of Those Who Attack Him

January 23, 2015 at 1:40 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 15 Comments

Rep. Steve King (R-IA) told MSNBC that he has kept a list of between 12 and 16 “prominent” Republicans who have made attacks against him, especially over the immigration issue.

Three Men in a Room

January 23, 2015 at 1:12 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

One day after the arrest of Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver (D), U.S. attorney Preet Bharara criticized Albany’s political culture, Capital New York reports.

Said Bharara: “There are by my count 213 men and women in the state legislature, and yet it is common knowledge that only three men essentially wield all the power. I must confess a little bit of confusion about this: When did this come to pass? Why has everyone just come to accept it?”

Flashback Quote of the Day

January 23, 2015 at 1:07 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 5 Comments

“There are no victories in Washington only varying degrees of defeat.”

— Former Sen. Wendell Ford (D-KY), quoted by the Louisville Courier Journal, in his obituary.

Bridge Scandal Runs Up Christie’s Legal Bills

January 23, 2015 at 1:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 8 Comments

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s (R) 2013 re-election campaign account “has accumulated $804,108 in debt from legal bills incurred in the aftermath of the George Washington Bridge scandal,” the Newark Star Ledger reports.

“The campaign currently has $44,284 on hand and did not raise any money during the final three months of 2014.”

Is Kasich Taking a Different Path to the GOP Nomination?

January 23, 2015 at 12:18 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 23 Comments

“If Ohio Gov. John Kasich is thinking of running for president, he’s taking a very circuitous route. Mr. Kasich, one of several Republican governors seen as potential candidates, is spending much of this week traveling through six sparsely populated Western states to promote balancing the budget,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Why Republicans Can’t Stop Talking About Rape

January 23, 2015 at 12:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 23 Comments

Sarah Kliff: “The events this week are a reminder that for all the party establishment’s promises to swear off talking rape — no more Todd Akin or Richard Mourdock moments — the problem is much more than a series of rhetorical mistakes. There’s a deep philosophical divide between the core of the pro-life movement, which wants no exceptions for abortion, and those who side with the vast majority of Americans, who support access to the procedure for rape victims.”

“The distance between these two important factions is as great as it has ever been, so Republicans are sure to find themselves debating the question of rape again and again in the context of abortion — even as the party grapples with how to win over women voters ahead of an election that could have Hillary Clinton at the top of the other ticket.”

Winning the Nomination Again Won’t Be Easy

January 23, 2015 at 12:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 16 Comments

Joshua Spivak: “What separates Romney from other comeback presidents is that he’s already received his party’s nomination and lost once before. The recent comeback kids did not receive the nomination in their first runs for office. For example, both Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush came in second in their earlier attempts for the nomination. Reagan, probably the most noteworthy candidate who ran more than once, boosted his name-recognition and his credibility with the party’s conservative base in his first two runs, especially when he almost toppled sitting President Gerald R. Ford in 1976.”

“But once you look at the candidates who received the nomination, lost the general election and ran again, the road back to the White House appears much tougher. The last person to lose as a nominee and then go on to win the presidency — or even to get his party’s nomination more than once – was Richard Nixon, who lost the election on a razor-thin margin in 1960 and then won triumphantly in 1968. Before that, it was fairly common for a party to renominate a candidate. William Jennings Bryan was the Democratic nominee three times and never won; Adlai Stevenson got the Democratic nomination twice in the 1950s; Thomas Dewey was the unsuccessful Republican nominee in 1944 and 1948. But all of these candidates share something Romney lacks: Their campaigns occurred before the advent of the current primary and caucus system for choosing a nominee. These earlier nominees needed only to appeal to the narrow support of a political convention.”

What Will Republicans Stand For After Obama?

January 23, 2015 at 10:05 am EST By Taegan Goddard 75 Comments

Charlie Cook: “Obama’s progress toward irrelevancy will begin to accelerate rapidly this fall, with the onset of presidential nomination debates, when the campaign becomes more of a 24/7 affair. Given that, since 2009, the organizing principle for most Republican campaigns for the White House, the House, and the Senate has been to oppose Obama, Obamacare, and most other administration policies, Republicans need to think about what they are going to stand for as the end of the president’s time in office nears, and after he’s gone.”

Walker Hires Top Iowa Strategist

January 23, 2015 at 10:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

The team that is building Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker’s political organization for a possible presidential campaign has brought on a GOP strategist with Iowa ties, the Des Moines Register reports.

David Polyansky, “a Texan who played senior roles in two Iowa presidential campaigns and was the top strategist in Republican Joni Ernst’s successful campaign for U.S. Senate this past fall, will be Team Walker’s senior adviser in Iowa.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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