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Obama the Loner

November 8, 2013 at 12:46 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Todd Purdum: “When Barack Obama arrived in Washington almost five years ago, the universal assumption was that the young president–who had, after all, won office by exploiting every connective tool of the national social and electoral network–would run his White House in sharp contrast to the bunkered, hunkered-down George W. Bush.”

“Like so much conventional wisdom, that impression has proved dead wrong. In fact, Obama’s resolute solitude–his isolation and alienation from the other players and power centers of Washington, be they rivals or friends–has emerged as the defining trait of his time in office. He may be the biggest presidential paradox since Thomas Jefferson, the slaveholder who wrote the Declaration of Independence: a community organizer who works alone.”

Booker’s First Week in Washington

November 8, 2013 at 12:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ruby Cramer notes how Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) once said he might “hack the Senate.”

“But his first week in the Senate — marked by deference to his colleagues, near-constant admissions that he has much to learn, and an obsessive focus on his home state — looked nothing at all like the jolt to the Beltway he articulated earlier this year, before the death of Sen. Frank Lautenberg. And as Booker works to gain his footing in ‘the world’s greatest deliberative body,’ it remains an open question whether he has the wherewithal to match his reformist rhetoric with action.”

Obama Secretly Loosened Sanctions on Iran

November 8, 2013 at 9:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Long before a nuclear deal was in reach, the U.S. was quietly lifting some of the financial pressure on Iran, the Daily Beast reports.

“A review of Treasury Department notices reveals that the U.S. government has all but stopped the financial blacklisting of entities and people that help Iran evade international sanctions since the election of its president, Hassan Rouhani, in June.”


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Why Obama’s Approval Rating Is Down

November 8, 2013 at 9:36 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

National Journal has an excellent chart showing why President Obama’s approval rating has fallen as much as 16 points since mid-December.

60 Minutes Retracts Report

November 8, 2013 at 9:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The correspondent for the disputed 60 Minutes’ segment about the attack on the United States Special Mission in Benghazi, Libya, last year apologized on the air Friday morning, saying it was a ‘mistake” to put on a security officer whose credibility has since been undermined by his diverging accounts of his actions that night.”

Perry Returns to Iowa

November 8, 2013 at 9:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NBC News:
“For the first time since finishing fifth in the 2012 Iowa caucuses,
Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) returned to the state that was the beginning
of the end of his initial presidential endeavor, reintroducing himself
to Iowans and vowing to do things differently if he were to run again.
‘If I was making a plan for 2016, coming to Iowa early and often would
be part of it.'”

AP:
“His arrival was much more muted than before.”

Rand Theft Caught-O

November 8, 2013 at 8:47 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jon Stewart tears apart Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) over plagiarism.

[Read more…]

Shutdown Didn’t Hurt Jobs Numbers as Expected

November 8, 2013 at 8:36 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The U.S. economy added 204,000 jobs in October and the unemployment rate rose to 7.3%, the Wall Street Journal reports.

Combined with yesterday’s report that 3rd quarter GDP growth of 2.8%, October economic data “have been
surprisingly strong, especially considering many economists thought the
16-day partial government shutdown would skew the numbers.”

GOP Brand Hurting Republicans in Elections

November 8, 2013 at 8:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Charlie Cook: “One takeaway is that while McAuliffe ran up slightly higher margins among Democrats and liberals than Cuccinelli did among Republicans and conservatives, the fact that Cuccinelli could win the independent vote by 9 percentage points yet lose the election by 3 points is a reminder that the gap between self-identified Democrats and self-identified Republicans is getting so wide that, in many races, winning the independent vote isn’t enough for a Republican candidate to bridge the gap. Remember that Mitt Romney won the independent vote last year by 5 points but still lost the election by almost 4 points. Brand damage has hurt the GOP in party identification, and that, in turn, is hurting Republicans on Election Day.”

The Cloakroom: The GOP rebranding unravels

Big Papi Finishes 3rd in Boston Mayoral Race

November 8, 2013 at 8:04 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CBS Sports: “In case you doubt the primacy of Red Sox baseball in Boston there’s this true, actual, verfiable fact on which to ruminate: According to the Boston Election Department, Red Sox DH/warrior-poet/2013 World Series MVP David Ortiz finished with the most write-in votes in the recent mayoral election.”

Quote of the Day

November 8, 2013 at 7:57 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“We have a disability right now — it’s called in the Senate ’55 of them and 45 of us.’ I’m not great at math, but 55 is more than 45.”

— Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY), in an interview with Peggy Noonan, on the GOP’s inability to repeal Obamacare.

Double Down vs. The Gamble

November 8, 2013 at 7:53 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Stuart Stevens: “Reading Double Down and The Gamble side by side is both fascinating and illuminating. Halperin and Heilemann focus on the campaign’s personalities, always looking for that dramatic scene or big moment. If they were writing a history of events leading up to World War II, they’d focus on the personal dramas of Chamberlin, Churchill and Hitler, with great attention paid to their various staffs.”

“Sides and Vavreck take a radically different, data-driven approach. Their take on World War II likely would be an examination of the economic forces driving Germany’s quest for expansion and embrace of Adolf Hitler. They’d write about hyperinflation, not der Führer’s hypertension.”

Democrats Are in Bad Shape Too

November 8, 2013 at 7:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Andrew Kohut: “Tucked away in recent polls–which have documented the extraordinary anger directed at the Republican Party during the shutdown crisis–are measures of clear disappointment with the Democratic Party. The disappointment is substantial, and it raises big questions about the 2014 midterms.”

“One clear troubling sign for the Democrats at this early stage is independent voters, who decide most elections. They are evenly divided, according to Pew’s mid-October survey: 43% say that “if the elections for Congress were being held today,” they would vote for the Republican candidate in their district, 43% say they would vote for the Democratic candidate.”

“It is not too much of an oversimplification to say that Democrats are struggling because President Obama is struggling.”

Hollywood Rallies Behind Clinton

November 8, 2013 at 7:05 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“In the prelude to the 2008 Democratic presidential primary season, the split between the Hollywood mogul David Geffen and Bill and Hillary Rodham Clinton represented an early and embarrassing sign of trouble for Mrs. Clinton,” the New York Times reports.

“Conversations with a range of Hollywood figures suggest that there is widespread — if not so starry-eyed — support for Mrs. Clinton should she decide to run for president in 2016, a stark contrast with 2008, and an important early indication of Mrs. Clinton’s standing with some of the biggest donors in the Democratic Party.”

Said Geffen: “If she ran, I would support her — no question. I think she’s the best candidate currently available for either party.”

Political Wire Podcast Everywhere

November 7, 2013 at 8:23 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Political Wire’s new podcast is now available on Stitcher!

You can also subscribe via ITunes or RSS and have each new episode delivered automatically to your phone or iPod when it’s ready.

Thanks for listening!

Iran Nuclear Deal Expected as Early as Friday

November 7, 2013 at 8:21 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Iran and world powers expect to announce an initial deal as early as Friday to curb Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for an easing of sanctions, a step that would mark the first breakthrough in a decade to blunt the threat of Tehran developing nuclear weapons,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Obama Says He Would Never Have Dumped Biden

November 7, 2013 at 7:24 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama dismissed a report in Double Down that his campaign poll-tested dumping Joe Biden in favor of “as would-be leakers trying to ‘seem important.’ But he said he would have flatly rejected the suggestion of removing Biden from his team,” NBC News reports.

Said Obama: “If they had asked me, I would have said there is no way that I am not running again with Joe Biden.”

Do Political Campaigns Even Matter?

November 7, 2013 at 6:42 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ezra Klein: “Game Change 2 has just been published, and horse-race junkies currently feeling the aches and fevers of election withdrawal… are rejoicing. As well they should. ‘Game Change 2’ — the actual title is Double Down: Game Change 2012 — is a joyous romp through the seedy underbelly of presidential campaigning. It’s a cure for the off-year shakes.”

“But when you buy ‘Game Change 2,’ you should also buy its opposite — The Gamble, by political scientists John Sides and Lynn Vavreck. It, too, is an account of the 2012 election. But it signals its contrasting point of view in its first sentence: ’68,’ the authors wrote. ‘That is how many moments were described as ‘game-changers’ in the 2012 presidential election.’ The rest of the book is dedicated to proving that almost none truly were.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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