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Hannity Implodes

December 31, 2012 at 3:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Daily News: “In a fitting coda to 2012, we’ve learned that the ratings for rock-ribbed conservative Sean Hannity cratered after Barack Obama won his second term, with viewers tuning out the Fox News Channel talk-show host in droves.”

“According to Nielsen numbers, Hannity lost around half of his audience in the weeks after the election, while his Fox News colleague Bill O’Reilly — who steadfastly refuses to identify himself politically as a conservative — retained around 70% of his audience.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

December 31, 2012 at 2:43 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The party right now is a holding company that’s devoid of a soul and it will be filled up with ideas over time and leaders will take their proper place. We can’t be known as a party that’s fear-based and doesn’t believe in math. In the end it will come down to a party that believes in opportunity for all our people, economic competitiveness and a strong dose of libertarianism.”

— Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman (R), in an interview with the Daily Telegraph, on the state of the Republican party.

Cliff Compromise Takes Shape

December 31, 2012 at 2:34 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The White House and Senate Republicans “are closing in on a budget compromise that would raise tax rates on couples making more than $450,000 a year, increase taxes on large inheritances and extend unemployment benefits for a year,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“However, with the New Year’s deadline approaching, negotiators were hung up on how, if at all, to postpone the $110 billion in spending cuts due to take effect Jan. 2.”

The biggest wildcard, of course, remains whether House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) could get such a compromise through the House of Representatives.

Andrew Sullivan: “This is the middle of a titanic struggle, not the end.”


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Media Tip: How to Recover From a Brain Freeze

December 31, 2012 at 12:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A guest post from Brad Phillips, author of The Media Training Bible.

In November 2011, Texas Governor Rick Perry’s presidential bid was effectively ended after he went blank for an excruciatingly painful 47 seconds during a primary debate. Although that moment became rather infamous (I rated it the worst gaffe of Election 2012), Mr. Perry is far from alone.

Arizona Governor Jan Brewer suffered a similar fate during a gubernatorial debate in 2010, when she went blank for 13 seconds. It was even worse for Jeanine Pirro, a candidate who briefly ran for Hillary Clinton’s New York Senate seat in 2005 but who saw her campaign almost instantaneously grounded after misplacing a page of her announcement speech and going silent for 32 seconds.

The truth is that most of us have suffered a similar–if less high profile–brain freeze. So what should you do if you go blank during an interview, debate, or speech?

[Read more…]

Quote of the Day

December 31, 2012 at 11:09 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“It was kind of a B-flat. If you know music, you know what I mean.'”

— Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ), quoted by Politico, on the tone inside the GOP caucus meeting on the fiscal cliff negotiations.

Two Sides Closer But No Deal Yet

December 31, 2012 at 11:05 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A “frantic round of late-night negotiations” between Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) “moved the Senate close to a deal to stave off hundreds of billions of dollars in tax increases and across-the-board spending cuts that would begin to kick in on Tuesday,” the New York Times reports.

First Read: “From what we understand, McConnell wants a deal — he wants to get this tax issue off the table. So they are close. The question is whether Boehner would bring such a deal to the floor and whether it could pass in time. But if a Biden-McConnell deal gets 70 or more votes in the Senate, Boehner might not have no choice but to bring the legislation to the House floor.”

Wonk Wire: Will fiscal cliff negotiations continue into 2013?

Clinton, Obama Top Most Admired List

December 31, 2012 at 11:05 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gallup poll finds Hillary Clinton is the “most admired woman” for the 11th year in a row while President Obama is the “most admired man” for the 5th year in a row.

A Historically Bad Congress

December 31, 2012 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

First Read: “Regardless of what happens today, the 112th Congress is going to wind up as the least popular and least productive Congress (in terms of legislation becoming law) in the modern era. For starters, Congress’ approval rating the last time the NBC/WSJ poll measured it (in August 2012) was just 12%, and a whopping 82% disapproved of Congress — the highest percentage in the history of our NBC/WSJ poll. In addition, just 219 bills have been passed into law — the lowest number since Congress began tracking this number in the 1940s. (And many of these bills were naming courthouses or post offices.) The previous low was 333 in the 104th Congress (1995-1996).”

“Throughout its history, of course, Congress has always been a dysfunctional place; in fact, the Founding Fathers ensured it that way (with the federal government’s checks and balances). But this particular Congress, which comes to an end on Jan. 3, has been uniquely dysfunctional. Just consider: the current fiscal-cliff debate, the debt-ceiling standoff of 2011 that resulted in an S&P credit downgrade, the Super Committee’s failure, the near government shutdown in the spring of 2011, the defeat of the U.N. Disabilities treaty, etc. With the debt ceiling, the fiscal cliff, and the near government shutdown, it’s hard not to conclude that Congress has been an active player in the sluggishness of the U.S. economy.”

Most Unliked Word of 2012

December 31, 2012 at 10:21 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The AP reviews this year’s additions to the “List of Words to be Banished from the Queen’s English for Misuse, Overuse and General Uselessness” and finds “fiscal cliff” received the most nominations.

German Magazine Publishes Bush Obituary

December 30, 2012 at 11:36 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Germany’s respected news weekly Der Spiegel mistakenly published an obituary for former President George H.W. Bush, hours after a family spokesman said the 88-year-old was recovering from illness, the AP reports.

The unfinished obituary appeared on Der Spiegel‘s website for only a few minutes Sunday before it was spotted by Internet users and removed.

NPR reports Bush was actually moved out of intensive care.

Obama Urges Illinois to Legalize Gay Marriage

December 30, 2012 at 11:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Obama “is urging the Illinois General Assembly to legalize gay marriage in his home state as lawmakers are poised to take up the measure as early as this week in Springfield,” the Chicago Sun Times reports.

Long Lines Cost 50K Votes in Florida

December 30, 2012 at 10:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

An Ohio State University researcher has found that “as many as 49,000 people across Central Florida were discouraged from voting because of long lines on Election Day,” the Orlando Sentinel reports.

“About 30,000 of those discouraged voters — most of them in Orange and Osceola counties — likely would have backed Democratic President Obama … About 19,000 voters would have likely backed Republican Mitt Romney … This suggests that Obama’s margin over Romney in Florida could have been roughly 11,000 votes higher than it was, based just on Central Florida results. Obama carried the state by 74,309 votes out of more than 8.4 million cast.”

Clinton Admitted to Hospital for Blood Clot

December 30, 2012 at 10:29 pm EST By Taegan Goddard

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was admitted to a New York City
hospital on Sunday after doctors discovered that a blood clot had formed
after she sustained a concussion a few weeks ago, NBC News reports.

The Washington Post notes Clinton hasn’t been seen in public in three weeks.

Congress Peers Over the Fiscal Cliff

December 30, 2012 at 10:13 pm EST By Taegan Goddard

“Senate negotiations to craft a bipartisan budget deal proceeded in
chaotic fits and starts Sunday, raising new questions about whether
Congress would be able to steer the country away from the fiscal cliff,”
the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The center of gravity had shifted by day’s end after talks between
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) and Senate Minority Leader
Mitch McConnell (R-KY) reached an impasse. Mr. McConnell instead struck
up talks with Vice President Joe Biden, a former Senate colleague with
whom he has worked on bipartisan budget deals in the past. The two men
planned to talk by phone into the night… No details of their
discussions were immediately available.”

Roll Call: “Efforts in the Senate to cut a last-minute bipartisan deal to avoid the
fiscal cliff’s tax increases and spending cuts continued Sunday evening
with little sign of an imminent breakthrough.”

Congress’ Self-Sabotaging Kabuki Act

December 30, 2012 at 9:20 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Avlon: “If this supposedly liberated lame-duck Congress can’t agree on basic outlines of a grand bargain agreement that has been debated in detail for the past two years, why should we believe that the next Congress will have more success? Immigration reform, gun reforms — those more difficult debates will be effectively DOA from day one. This is self-government committing economic suicide, putting ideological absolutism ahead of solving problems. The idea of a productive lame-duck session after the contentious election has been erased. Hopefully, Senators Reid and McConnell will surprise us with some kind of patchwork compromise by the self-imposed deadline of 3 p.m. today, but they have been keeping rumors of progress to themselves.”

“This congressional Kabuki is killing us, because it masks a more fundamental problem. Congress seems unable to act unless confronted with a crisis at the last minute — and even then, they can’t agree on anything significant or substantive that actually deals with long-term problems. Maybe they should just stay on vacation and spare us the rhetoric. But as the clock ticks to New Year’s, they should have a guilty conscience that might inspire a genuine resolution to reform. Because they created this crisis and now seem unable to fix it. We’re the ones who will feel the pain. It is an epic act of self-sabotage.”

Quote of the Day

December 30, 2012 at 9:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“They say that their biggest priority is making sure that we deal with the deficit in a serious way, but the way they’re behaving is that their only priority is making sure that tax breaks for the wealthiest Americans are protected. That seems to be their only overriding, unifying theme.”

— President Obama, on Meet the Press, blaming Republicans for failing to reach a deal to avert the fiscal cliff.

Republicans Resigned to Getting Blamed

December 28, 2012 at 8:38 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

BuzzFeed: “It’s difficult to find a Republican operative who is willing to say on the record that going over the fiscal cliff next Tuesday is a good idea. Provoking a crisis is bad politics: Republicans are resigned to taking the blame. And it’s bad for their policy agenda: They will likely be cornered into a broader tax hike than the best deal they could get from President Barack Obama today, and with none of the spending cuts that might now be on the table.”

“And yet, the dominant emotion among most Republicans here is one of sheer resignation.”

Said one prominent Republican: “It’s a shit show. Tax rates are going to go up on everyone, and we’re going to get the blame.”

Most Unproductive Congress in 60 Years

December 28, 2012 at 8:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Huffington Post: “As 2012 comes to a close, the 112th Congress is set to go down in American history as the most unproductive session since the 1940s… Obama has signed 219 bills passed by the 112th Congress into law. With less than a week to go in the year, there are currently another 20 bills pending presidential action. In comparison, the last Congress passed 383 bills, while the one before it passed 460.”

“The 104th Congress (1995-1996) currently holds the ignominious distinction of being the least productive session of Congress … Just 333 bills became law during that two-year period, meaning the 112th Congress needs to send nearly 100 more bills to Obama’s desk in the next few days if it wants to avoid going down in history — an unlikely prospect, considering that both chambers are squarely focused on averting the ‘fiscal cliff’ before the new year.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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