Rick Santorum now holds a 10 point lead in the Gallup daily tracking poll of registered Republicans nationally.
Quote of the Day
“I’m against very wealthy people attempting to or influencing
elections. But as long as it’s doable I’m going to do it.
Because I know that guys like Soros have been doing it for years, if not
decades.”
— Casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, in an interview with Forbes, suggesting he might spend up to $100 million on the presidential election.
Super PACs Dominating GOP Race
New financial disclosures shows that Super PACs and other groups “dominated the race for the Republican presidential nomination last month, raising and spending tens of millions of dollars outside the traditional campaign system and playing a key role in extending an already tumultuous contest,” the Washington Post reports.
New York Times: “The spending reports revealed the breadth and power of super PACs as the campaign hits a critical and perhaps decisive period, with outside groups poised to pick up a growing share of political spending during the costly primary battle that lies ahead.”
How the Campaigns Eat
David Weigel reads into the food-related expenses of the four Republican presidential campaigns.
“What
do we learn? Sometimes there are data dumps that confound our
expectations about candidates, and sometimes, we get material that
confirms them. Here we learn that the Paul campaign, holding no debt,
tracks the most minute expenditures at average joe fast food places,
that the Romney campaign eats well or eats in airports, and that the
other two guys are too strapped and too busy to care about this stuff.”
Preparing for the Wisconsin Recall
The Hotline:
“Obama made his first visit to Wisconsin in over a year this week, and
we were reminded of why he’s been absent for so long. Last year’s
dispute over collective bargaining triggered a series of state Senate
recalls in the Badger State — but in districts Republicans won in 2008,
even as Obama carried the state by double digits. So his presence would
not have been helpful. But next up is a different type of recall, a
statewide affair in which turnout will matter, regardless of where in
the state it comes from. Obama will have a decision to make about how
closely he wants to tether himself to the Democratic nominee in the
near-certain recall. And how close he stays will say a lot about what
the White House thinks the chances of defeating Gov. Scott Walker look
like.”
“Walker is looking to extend the delay in the Wisconsin’s
recall process as long as possible. Due to a quirk in the state’s
campaign finance law, Walker can raise unlimited funds until the date of
the election is set, allowing him to further bolster his already
massive campaign warchest.”
Most Republicans Want to Avoid a Brokered Convention
A new USA Today/Gallup poll finds that by a 66% to 29% margin, Republicans say it would be better if one of the four candidates now running managed to secure enough delegates to clinch the nomination rather than head to a brokered or deadlocked convention.
In addition, 57% say the volatile nomination battle isn’t hurting the party.
Luxury Hotels of the Romney Campaign
Pinterest highlights photos of the luxury hotels that appear under “TRAVEL: LODGING” in Mitt Romney’s January 2012 campaign finance report.
Santorum Finally Gets the Media’s Attention
Howard Kurtz: “Rick Santorum’s main complaint about the press used to be that he wasn’t getting enough of it. But now that he’s surged to the top of the national polls, the former senator’s campaign is growing increasingly perturbed by a wave of coverage of his views on birth control, abortion, and religion.”
Watergate: A Novel
Just published: Watergate: A Novel by Thomas Mallon.
New York Times: “In this stealth bull’s-eye of a political novel, Thomas Mallon invests the Watergate affair with all the glitter, glamour, suave grace and subtlety that it doesn’t often get. His cleverly counterintuitive Watergate even has the name-dropping panache of a Hollywood tell-all.”
Quote of the Day
“Defeating Barack Obama becomes, in fact, a duty of national security. Because the fact is, he is incapable of defending the United States.”
— Newt Gingrich, quoted by NBC News, adding the country is at risk “someday in your lifetime of losing an American city” from a terrorist attack.
Which Candidate is Most Charitable?
Washington Post: “President Obama and his wife, Michelle, despite having the second-lowest income of the four candidate/spouse combos, gave the highest percentage of their $1.8 million income to charity in 2010. He and Michelle gave 14.2% of their AGI, while the Romneys gave 13.8%.”
“Santorum and Newt Gingrich, by comparison, gave very little of their income to charity. Gingrich and his wife, Callista, gave 2.6% of their $3.2 million income in 2010. Santorum and wife Karen, who made the least in 2010 (less than $1 million), also gave the lowest percentage of their income to charity, at 1.8%.”
Paul Caron has charts detailing their charitable contributions,
Santorum Way Ahead in Oklahoma
A new Tulsa World poll in Oklahoma finds Rick Santorum leading the GOP presidential race with 39%, followed by Mitt Romney at 23%, Newt Gingrich at 18% and Ron Paul at 13%.
The Oklahoma primary is on March 6.
Romney Holds Small Lead in Arizona
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Arizona finds Mitt Romney leading Rick Santorum, 36% to 33%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 16% and Ron Paul at 9%.
Key finding: “One thing to keep an eye on over the next week is whether Newt Gingrich can hold his support. 16% is pretty good for him compared to what we’re finding other places right now, but only 46% of his voters say they’re solidly committed to him. 40% of his supporters say that Santorum is their second choice, compared to only 25% for Romney. If Gingrich’s supporters see he’s not viable and decide to jump ship the race could get even closer.”
Dead Heat in Michigan
A new We Ask America poll in Michigan finds Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum tied in the GOP presidential race at 29% each. They are followed by Ron Paul at 12% and Newt Gingrich at 10%.
Santorum’s Social Issues Box
The Hill
notes that Rick Santorum has been “unable or unwilling to escape
controversies over social issues” amid his rising prospects in the
Republican presidential nomination race.
“Santorum’s response –
welcoming the line of questions – reveals a side of the senator’s
personality that is unwilling to shy away from topics that other
national politicians fear would alienate centrist swing
voters… There’s logic to Santorum’s penchant for delving into such
controversies. Doing so has established his bona fides with conservative
voters, signaling that he is willing to stand up for core beliefs and
principles even when they’re unpopular. Relative to Mitt Romney – who
has struggled to shed the image of an opportunist willing to shift his
positions to suit the popular mood – that sort of conviction has proven
attractive to GOP primary voters.”
Same Old Redistricting Game
John Avlon looks at the latest round of gerrymandering and notes “the weasel-y-ness is worse than ever, with outrages and embarrassments covered mostly by local media.”
“Legislators from both parties will
continue to get away with the maximum amount of self-dealing and
self-interest they can get away with – unless they feel it is no longer
in their self-interest because of citizen pressure. That’s why these
local tales of rigging the system of redistricting should matter to you,
no matter what state you live in.”
Obama’s Hard Edge
The New York Times profiles White House political adviser David Plouffe.
“Fiercely data-driven, Mr. Plouffe revels in the company of spreadsheets, lists, maps and the Baseball Almanac. Fiercely competitive, he once decked a colleague in a friendly touch football game for taunting him. Fiercely unsentimental, he expends zero amazement over his career climb from selling knives door to door to a first-among-equals status in the White House’s closed circle.”
“People inside Mr. Obama’s political apparatus say Mr. Plouffe is most in tune with the President’s thinking in terms of his unsparing focus on the middle class and his abandonment of the bipartisan bridge-building efforts that have mostly failed through his first term… Mr. Plouffe approaches campaigns with a tribal sense of good-vs.-evil, rarely seeing much humanity in opponents.”
Romney’s Last Argument
Walter Shapiro: “The Mitt Romney crisis transcends the seven straight national polls showing Rick Santorum in the lead. It goes beyond the embarrassing reality that the son of an auto executive and two-term governor has been behind in every Michigan poll conducted since Groundhog’s Day. Even more devastating for Romney is that elite Republicans have begun to conclude that he cannot, if nominated, beat Barack Obama. About the only argument that still works for Romney among GOP insiders is that he would be less of a drag on the ticket than the strident Santorum or the mercurial Newt Gingrich.”
“With the exception of Mike Dukakis (what is it about governors of Massachusetts?), it is impossible to recall a top-tier presidential contender who aroused such little passion among the voters.”
