Nate Silver: “A lot of polling since our last update, and the model mostly liked it for Harris — especially the national polls, which show her lead expanding to an even 3 points. There were exceptions, notably in Arizona, though the model somewhat shrugs Arizona polling off since it’s relatively unlikely to be the tipping-point state, making it among the less critical swing states. Instead, Plan A for Harris runs through Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — and Plan B involves North Carolina, Georgia or both.”

“The forecast is still in toss-up range, but we’re getting to the point where we’d say we’d rather have Harris’ hand to play.”

In previously undisclosed messages, J.D. Vance said in February 2020 that Donald Trump had not fulfilled his economic agenda and predicted he would lose to Joe Biden, the Washington Post reports.

Said Vance: “Trump has just so thoroughly failed to deliver on his economic populism — excepting a disjointed China policy.”

“The critical messages, shared with The Post by their recipient on the condition of anonymity because of concerns about retaliation, cast doubt on Vance’s oft-recited account of how and when he embraced Trumpism. They were written years after Vance’s previously reported remarks attacking Trump, such as his statements in 2016 that Trump was ‘reprehensible,’ ‘cultural heroin’ and possibly ‘America’s Hitler.'”

The Harris campaign responds: “It is hard to conceive of a more scathing and definitive rejection of Donald Trump’s economic record than his own running mate stating categorically that Trump ‘failed’ on the economy.“

Rick Wilson: “Just saying you won’t vote for Trump and that you’ll write in a third-party candidate or someone not on the ballot is morally and politically insufficient. It is not a sign of courage to merely reject Trump. It is not a sign of strength to say he’s unqualified to be president and then refuse to endorse Harris. (Some of you will vote for Harris in secret; this is fine for rank-and-file folks but not for you.)”

“The test here is only passed with a ringing, public endorsement of Kamala Harris. Nothing else suffices.”

“I failed this test in 2016. I worked for and voted for Evan McMullin as a write-in in Florida. It made exactly zero difference. My vote wouldn’t have put Hillary Clinton over the top, but it could have at scale and in an election decided by the narrowest of margins.”

“Voting for Harris is not a declaration you’re a raving progressive now, ready to seize the means of production and usher in the vanguard of the proletariat. It doesn’t mean you’ve adopted every policy and premise of the Democratic Party.”

“It means you give a damn about your country. Unlike Trumpism, this decision doesn’t demand uniformity and obedience.”

Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT) has so far refused to endorse Kamala Harris despite “subtle pressure” from Republicans who have supported her campaign, the Washington Post reports.

Said Romney: “People know where I stand on Donald Trump, and that’s enough.”

He says he wants to “preserve his ability to rebuild the Republican Party in a post-Trump world,” and also has concerns about his family’s safety if he were to back Harris.