CNN Poll: “Harris leads Trump 52% to 40% among these likely voters younger than 35. That still suggests a tighter race among this group than in 2020, when President Joe Biden ended up with a 21-point margin among the same age group, according to exit polls.”
“But it marks a return to more typical voting patterns after polls earlier in the year showed Biden struggling to rally youth support for a second term.”
Punchbowl News: “Congress will be gone after today until mid-November.”
“It’s a little earlier than normal — about a week — if you go back and look at when previous Congresses passed a CR that allowed lawmakers to head back home to run for reelection.”
“Yet the thing about this Congress is that it hasn’t done anything for months anyway.”
Playbook: “Today will be escape day for both the House and Senate, with passage of a three-month continuing resolution now all but assured. The House will go first with a suspension vote this evening, and the Senate has already pre-negotiated how things will go once the bill comes across the Capitol: two hours of debate followed by a single up-or-down vote — and you can expect plenty of that debate time to get yielded back. See you in November!”
A new SurveyUSA poll in Nebraska finds Dan Osborne (I) leading Sen. Deb Fischer (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 45% to 44%.
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Democratic strategist James Carville told CNN that he has a “feeling” Kamala Harris will win the election in November.
Said Carville: “I don’t like to predict elections. I would just say, this just doesn’t feel like a race that Harris is gonna lose. But that’s just a feeling. That’s just a feeling.”
He added: “It’s close in the polls, and I’m not convinced that it’s going to be close on Election Day. I’ll say this: If there’s seven swing states, the least, most least likely scenario is that it breaks 4-3. I could be wrong, but it’s going to break in one direction or the other.”
Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) ignited outrage among Democrats on Tuesday by saying the House will follow standard procedure for certifying the 2024 presidential results if the election is “free, fair and safe,” Axios reports.
Donald Trump was briefed by Biden administration officials Tuesday on “real and specific threats from Iran to assassinate him,” his campaign said in a statement. Bloomberg reports.
“Democratic leaders are telling their party’s biggest donors that keeping Montana’s Senate seat blue is a real challenge. However, they are planning to go on offense in Florida to retain their majority,” Axios reports.
“They are also eyeing Texas, where a recent poll has Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) up by three points against Rep. Colin Allred (D-TX).”
CBS News Poll: “Kamala Harris outpaces Donald Trump on being personally liked, but there are about half of voters who dislike the way she handles herself personally. A mere 5% who dislike her are voting for her.”
“But among the nearly two-thirds of voters who don’t like Trump personally, 21% are voting for him — that’s four times the number of voters who don’t like Harris personally but are backing her.”
“Prosecutors on Tuesday filed the charge of attempted assassination of a major presidential candidate against Ryan Wesley Routh, the man they say camped outside of Donald Trump’s West Palm Beach golf course for hours on end, armed with a rifle that he pointed through a chain-link fence with a clear shot to the next hole where the former president was headed on September 15,” CNN reports.
“Judge Aileen Cannon, a Trump appointee who oversaw, and later threw out, the federal criminal classified documents case against the former president, was randomly assigned to oversee the case, court documents show.”
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have both agreed to do Univision town hall events.
The audience will feature undecided Hispanic voters who will ask questions of each candidate.
Gallup: “Nearly all Gallup measures that have shown some relationship to past presidential election outcomes or that speak to current perceptions of the two major parties favor the Republican Party over the Democratic Party.”
“Chief among these are Republican advantages in U.S. adults’ party identification and leanings, the belief that the GOP rather than the Democratic Party is better able to handle the most important problem facing the country, Americans’ dissatisfaction with the state of the nation, and negative evaluations of the economy with a Democratic administration in office.”
“Special counsel Jack Smith this week will be allowed to file hundreds of pages of legal arguments and evidence gathered in the 2020 election subversion and January 6 US Capitol attack criminal case against former President Donald Trump,“ CNN reports.
“The filing is likely to be the largest chunk of the case against Trump that the public will be able to see before the 2024 presidential election, and could include what prosecutors know of the former president’s interactions with then-Vice President Mike Pence and other moments in late 2020 and early 2021.”
“Schools Chancellor David Banks, who assumed his role as head of the nation’s largest school system in New York City two years ago, is stepping down,” Politico reports.
“Banks, a longtime friend of Mayor Eric Adams who appointed him in December 2021, is resigning as he faces scrutiny over his ties to a federal investigation. The probe is centered around the role his consultant brother Terence played in a potential bribery scheme involving city contracts.”
“Maybe we’ll pay off the $35 trillion US debt in crypto. I’ll write on a little piece of paper ‘$35 trillion crypto we have no debt.’ That’s what I like.”
— Donald Trump, floating a plan to address the federal budget deficit.
“At least 210 women faced criminal charges related to pregnancy, abortion, pregnancy loss, or birth in the year after the Supreme Court ended the federal right to abortion,” Rolling Stone reports.
“In most of the cases — 121 of the 210 — the information later used against the women was obtained or disclosed in a medical setting, researchers found.”
“Speaker Mike Johnson is preparing to steer around a bloc of conservative opposition to a bipartisan short-term agreement to fund the government by relying — yet again — on Democrats to provide the bulk of votes to pass the legislation,” the New York Times reports.
“Late on Monday night, Republican leaders abruptly abandoned an effort to bring the funding legislation to the House floor using routine procedural measures, in an acknowledgment of the growing opposition to the measure from hard-right lawmakers.”
“The leader of a nonprofit representing the Haitian community of Springfield, Ohio, filed criminal charges Tuesday against former President Donald Trump and his running mate, JD Vance, over the chaos and threats experienced by the city since Trump first spread false claims about legal immigrants there during a presidential debate,” the AP reports.
Rick Wilson: “I may have a fairly encyclopedic knowledge of American politics, but with 7000+ elected officials in the country, no one knows them all by name. Until a few days ago, I had never heard of state Senator Mike McDonnell of Nebraska.”
“There aren’t many elected Republican heroes left still inside the party. Yesterday, we saw one in action when McDonnell stood in front of the MAGA freight train of corrupt politics and their ongoing attempt to steal the 2024 election and said, ‘Stop.'”
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.
Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.
Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.
Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.
Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.
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