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Oprah Winfrey to Join Harris on the Campaign Trail

September 19, 2024 at 11:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Oprah Winfrey, who made a surprise appearance to speak at the Democratic National Convention last month, is scheduled to join Vice President Kamala Harris in Michigan on Thursday for a campaign event,” the Washington Post reports.

Trump Rally Attendees Report Eye Burning Symptoms

September 19, 2024 at 11:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump’s rally in Tucson, Arizona, last week has now been shrouded in mystery after several attendees claimed to suffer from bizarre, eye burning symptoms in the aftermath of the event, KVOA reports.

Said one attendee: “As soon as we left and we stepped outside my eyes were burning.”

Biden’s Student Debt Forgiveness Remains Blocked

September 19, 2024 at 11:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A federal judge has extended a temporary restraining order against the Biden administration’s latest student loan forgiveness plan, threatening the White House hope to provide financial relief to tens of millions of Americans ahead of the Nov. 5 presidential elections,” CNBC reports.


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Harris Maintains Big Lead in New York

September 19, 2024 at 11:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Siena poll in New York finds Kamala Harris has a double-digit lead over Donald Trump, 55% to 42%, following a Trump rally last night where he claimed he can win it.

Buttigieg Is Playing the Role of J.D. Vance in Debate Prep

September 19, 2024 at 11:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gov. Tim Walz is intensifying his preparations for the vice-presidential debate with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg serving as a stand-in for his opponent, Sen. J.D. Vance, the New York Times reports.

Clinton Says Policies Won’t Decide This Election

September 19, 2024 at 11:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Hillary Clinton said that voters still deciding between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump were less likely to be swayed by the details of Harris’s policies than they were by the candidates’ starkly different approaches to governing, the New York Times reports.

Said Clinton: “At the end of the day, this is a contest between freedom and oppression, between democracy and autocracy, between bringing people together and further dividing us, and that’s what has to be communicated every single day between now and the election.”

Elon Musk Boosts Fake Claims

September 19, 2024 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Elon Musk is using his social media platform to promote misinformation about the presidential candidates in the lead up to the November election, amplifying false claims Wednesday about a Trump rally bomb threat and immigrants eating pets in Ohio,” CNN reports.

“While Musk’s posting of provocative, incendiary content on X is nothing new, the speed with which he has promoted false claims in recent days is striking given the breadth of Musk’s digital reach, with his posts regularly finding their way atop users’ feeds.”

How Israel Built a Modern-Day Trojan Horse

September 19, 2024 at 10:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The Israeli government did not tamper with the Hezbollah devices that exploded, defense and intelligence officials say. It manufactured them as part of an elaborate ruse.”

Well That Plan Didn’t Work Out

September 19, 2024 at 10:25 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“At the outset of September, House Republican leaders told us they were going to spend the weeks before the election dividing Democrats and uniting the GOP,” Punchbowl News reports.

“But in forcing a vote on a six-month CR with the SAVE Act — a move that failed badly on the House floor Wednesday night — Speaker Mike Johnson succeeded in spending a week dividing his party and lessening his already minuscule leverage with the Senate.”

The Importance of Banking Early Votes

September 19, 2024 at 10:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Election Day is just 47 days away.

It’s important to remember that this campaign has been upended multiple times in even shorter spans.

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J.D. Vance Keeps Getting Ahead of Trump on Policy

September 19, 2024 at 10:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“J.D. Vance said over the weekend that he ‘learned my lesson’ on getting ahead of Donald Trump after accidentally announcing an abortion position Trump later disavowed. He might still have some work to do,” Semafor reports.

“Vance’s nonstop media tour and willingness to jump into the fray on just about any topic has repeatedly led to the vice presidential nominee sketching in Trump’s vague policy positions himself. It has some allies worried that he’s overstepping his bounds.”

Said one GOP senator: “It’s never good for the vice president to be in front of the president. It’s just part of the learning experience for him.”

Battle for House Majority Remains Tight

September 19, 2024 at 10:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “We are changing 5 House ratings this week, although that does not change our overall arithmetic in the House. We continue to view the race for the chamber as effectively a 50-50 proposition.”

“The real playing field may be smaller than what we saw in the 2022 election cycle, if current outside spending is any indication.”

Voters in Swing States Focused on the Economy

September 19, 2024 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As the presidential campaign intensifies in its final weeks, conventional wisdom might suggest that voters in critical battleground states are solely focused on the election,” Reckon reports.

“However, readership data from leading local news publications in all seven battleground states tells a different story: while political news draws interest, economic issues are grabbing voters’ attention most consistently.”

How Harris and Trump Are Spending Their Money

September 19, 2024 at 9:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Time: “On the Democratic side, 28 of the first 30 biggest expenses listed on the Federal Election Commision summary for Kamala Harris’ campaign are related to media buys and production—a.k.a. ads. On the Republican side, 20 of the 30 biggest GOP checks backing Donald Trump’s return to the White House are for paid media and mailers.”

“Put plainly as told through invoices: campaigns are investing far more in what voters come across when they’re looking for entertainment or a distraction than sending someone to knock on their door for a chat.”

“That priority is about to become far more apparent in the handful of swing states, where the final push toward Election Day is slated to see a half-billion dollars in advertising go live.”

“The Harris campaign and allies have booked more than $330 million on TV and radio over roughly the next seven weeks. Trump’s team has booked a little less than $200 million. The disparity stems only partly from Harris’ superior fundraising. It’s also due to an early investment by the now-shuttered Biden campaign to book ad time on the stations in key markets months ahead of time, while Trump was still using much of his campaign’s coffers to pay lawyers.”

What to Make of This Morning’s Polls

September 19, 2024 at 9:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

As predicted, we’re getting a wave of high quality swing state polls and they’re not doing much to clarify the presidential race.

But I do have some takeaways:

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Pennsylvania Remains Narrowly Divided

September 19, 2024 at 8:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Washington Post poll in Pennsylvania finds Kamala Harris barely ahead of Donald Trump among likely voters, 48% to 47%.

In the U.S. Senate race, Bob Casey (D) is just ahead of challenger Dave McCormick (R) 47% to 46%.

Inside Trump’s Electoral Firewall

September 19, 2024 at 8:52 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Martin: “There are really only three states that will decide the presidential election: Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia.”

“If Vice President Kamala Harris can’t carry Pennsylvania, her only hope is on a Southern strategy. Harris must win either Georgia or North Carolina. She has no other path to the White House. The election could well be determined when polls close in the eastern time zone. (Well, yes, after the ballots are all counted.)”

“This isn’t to say the other four battlegrounds — Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Arizona — aren’t important. If Harris loses Pennsylvania, which her aides acknowledge is a highly challenging state, she’d still need to pick up one of the two Western states as well as one of the two Southern states to win — so long as she carries Michigan and Wisconsin.”

“Yet none of those other four battlegrounds are relevant if Trump first blocks her in Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina.”

Check it out on the interactive map.

Trump’s Laziest Campaign

September 19, 2024 at 8:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Monthly: “The 78-year-old Republican nominee is holding fewer campaign events than in his two previous runs for the presidency. Can he pick up the pace?”

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Muckety Muck: The term “muckety muck” refers to individuals who hold significant power, influence, or high rank within politics.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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