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RFK Jr. Will Remain on Michigan Ballot

September 18, 2024 at 6:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A federal judge on Wednesday denied a request from Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., a former independent candidate for president, to have his name removed from Michigan’s Nov. 5 ballot,” the Detroit Free Press reports.

West Coast Teamsters Endorse Harris

September 18, 2024 at 6:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“West Coast Teamsters announced their endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris on Wednesday, just minutes after national Teamsters leadership declined to issue a presidential endorsement,” Politico reports.

“The move represents a sharp break within the powerful union’s membership in liberal states like California, where former President Donald Trump remains a widely unpopular political figure.”

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 18, 2024 at 5:35 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I will if he does. That’s a trade-off I’d do.”

— George Clooney, on Jimmy Kimmel Live, responding to Donald Trump’s call for him “to get out of politics.”


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Trump Media Sinks to New Low

September 18, 2024 at 5:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Trump Media closed Wednesday at a new post-merger low, on the eve of the expiration of “lockup” restrictions that have barred the Truth Social owners’ insiders, like majority shareholder Donald Trump, from selling their stakes, CNBC reports.

Trump’s Growing Tax Cut Promises

September 18, 2024 at 4:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Semafor: “The former president announced Tuesday that he’d seek to eliminate the limit on state and local tax deductions that he himself imposed in his signature 2017 tax law. That was the fifth separate new tax break he’d supported in three months; he wants to eliminate tax on tips, overtime pay, and Social Security benefits, plus lower the corporate tax rate to 15%.”

“That sounds good to Republicans and even some Democrats. But Trump’s tax proposals threaten to balloon the deficit and limit the GOP’s options if it manages to retake all of Congress and the White House in November. Decreasing revenues by enacting even one or two of Trump’s pitches would make it that much harder for Republicans to extend his 2017 tax cuts for individuals, which expire next year.”

New York Times: To win votes, Trump floats an array of expensive tax cuts.

Maine Looks Likely to Split Electoral Votes This Year

September 18, 2024 at 3:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Pan Atlantic Research poll in Maine finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump statewide, 50% to 41%.

However, within Maine’s 2nd congressional district — which awards one electoral vote — Trump leads 49% to 42%.

Fed Chair Says Rate Cut Won’t Impact Election

September 18, 2024 at 3:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that Wednesday’s larger-than-expected interest rate cut may have a limited effect on the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, because the decision’s impacts will ripple into the economy slowly,” CNBC reports.

Quote of the Day

September 18, 2024 at 3:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I’m still gonna call them an illegal alien.”

— Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH), at a campaign rally, on Haitian immigrants who are in Ohio legally.

Harris Holds Double-Digit Lead in New Hampshire

September 18, 2024 at 3:35 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new University of New Hampshire poll finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by a wide margin among likely voters, 54% to 43%.

Harris’s increased lead is largely due to consolidating support among Democrats and left-leaning voters.

Atlantic City Mayor Indicted for Abusing His Daughter

September 18, 2024 at 3:34 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Atlantic City Mayor Marty Small Sr. (D) and his wife, La’Quetta, the city’s superintendent of schools, have been indicted on child endangerment and other charges for allegedly beating their teenage daughter on numerous occasions,” the AP reports.

Teamsters Skips Endorsement

September 18, 2024 at 3:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The International Brotherhood of Teamsters will not issue an endorsement in the presidential election for the first time since 1996.

Trump Was Warned of Being Poisoned

September 18, 2024 at 3:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Events have taken far longer to plan because of limited resources. Bulletproof glass now boxes him in at outdoor events. Campaign officials have been warned by the government about the possibility of poisoning threats that could target the former president. His team has gotten nervous about drones targeting him at golf courses and at outdoor venues after hearing briefings from the Secret Service.”

John Thune Navigates His Way to Senate Leader

September 18, 2024 at 3:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “Throughout his political career, the South Dakota Republican has shown an athlete’s grit and sense for being in the right place at the right time. … This year, Thune — much like he ran the 800-meter race in high school — has jumped out to a pace meant to exhaust his rivals.”

“But the drive to become leader has forced Thune into a delicate pose: contrasting Trump’s style of politics, but stopping short of the direct confrontations that have ended the careers of other Republicans.”

Most Teamsters Members Prefer Trump

September 18, 2024 at 2:46 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

More than half of Teamsters members back Donald Trump over Kamala Harris for president, according to a poll of members as the union’s leadership weighs an endorsement.

Workers at Musk’s Companies Donate to Harris

September 18, 2024 at 2:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Billionaire Elon Musk has endorsed Republican former President Donald Trump in the race for the White House, but employees at his collection of companies are largely donating to Trump’s Democratic rival Kamala Harris,” Reuters reports.

This Is What a Losing Campaign Looks Like

September 18, 2024 at 2:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Frum: “The day before Vance tweeted at me, former President Donald Trump was livestreaming to promote a dubious new cryptocurrency venture. That same day, he gave an interview to the conspiracy theorist Wayne Allyn Root in which Trump reverted to old form to denounce mail-in voting because the U.S. Postal Service could not be trusted to deliver pro-Trump votes fairly.”

“The day before that, the Secret Service had fired upon a man with a rifle near Trump’s West Palm Beach golf course. The apparent assassination attempt drove the headlines, but beneath the story was the reality that a candidate for president took a day off to golf only 50 days before Election Day.”

“Trump golfs a lot, and campaigns surprisingly infrequently. When he does campaign events, he makes odd choices of venue: Today, he will appear in New York’s Nassau County. New York State has not voted Republican for president since 1984. In 2020, Trump won 38 percent of the New York vote. Yet Trump has convinced himself, or somebody has convinced him, that this year he might be competitive in New York…”

“Rarely, if ever, has a presidential campaign collapsed from seeming assurance into utter chaos as Trump-Vance has… The stink of impending defeat fills the air—and so much of the defeat would be self-inflicted.”

Fed Cuts Rates by Half Percentage Point

September 18, 2024 at 2:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Federal Reserve voted to lower interest rates by a half percentage point, opting for a bolder start in making its first reduction since 2020,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The long-anticipated pivot followed an all-out fight against inflation the central bank launched two years ago.”

Harris Leads in the ‘Blue Wall’ States

September 18, 2024 at 12:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Three new Quinnipiac polls of likely voters:

  • Pennsylvania: Harris 51%, Trump 45%
  • Michigan: Harris 50%, Trump 45%
  • Wisconsin: Harris 48%, Trump 47%

Said pollster Tim Malloy: “Three crucial swing states wave a red flag at the Trump campaign. The GOP’s most ‘go to’ attack strategies against Democrats on immigration and the economy may be losing momentum. Likely voters now see little daylight, in most cases, between Harris and Trump on who can best handle those key issues.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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