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Harris Has the Edge in Wisconsin

September 18, 2024 at 12:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new AARP poll in Wisconsin finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in a multi-candidate field among registered voters, 48% to 45%.

Harris’ lead is due to nearly unanimous support among Democrats and an 11 point lead among independents.

Why Millions Have Amnesia About Trump’s Presidency

September 18, 2024 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Corn: “To regain the White House, Trump needs to cover not just the pandemic but a lot else with the mists of time, including his attempt to overturn an election and his incitement of January 6’s insurrectionist attack, a trade war with China that cost the US hundreds of thousands of jobs and hundreds of billions of dollars in GDP, his love affairs with dictators like Kim Jong Un and Vladimir Putin, his broken vows to boost infrastructure and to replace the Affordable Care Act with a better and cheaper program, his two impeachments, and nine years of chaos, scandals, and mean-spirited, racist, and ignorant remarks.”

“That’s a lot of forgetting to rely upon, and the fact that Trump still has a good shot at victory is a sign that he can successfully stuff much of this history into the mental recesses of the electorate. Fortunately for him, the nature of human memory plays to Trump’s favor—even, perhaps especially, when it comes to a pandemic.”

‘Kamala’s Arm Candy’

September 18, 2024 at 11:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

John Heilemann spent 90 minutes interviewing second gentleman Doug Emhoff, one of his first interviews since his wife became the nominee.


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Andy Beshear Bans ‘Conversion Therapy’ in Kentucky

September 18, 2024 at 11:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear (D) banned the use of “conversion therapy” on minors in his state, “calling his executive order a necessary step to protect children from a widely discredited practice that tries to change a person’s sexual orientation or gender identity through counseling,” the AP reports.

“The governor took action using his executive powers after efforts to enact a law banning the practice repeatedly failed in the state’s Republican-dominated legislature.”

Harris Maintains Lead Nationally

September 18, 2024 at 11:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Economist/YouGov poll finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally among registered voters in a multi-candidate field, 49% to 45%.

More Wireless Devices Explode in Lebanon

September 18, 2024 at 10:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Hezbollah was hit Wednesday by another wave of exploding devices, as walkie-talkies used by the group blew up in homes, cars and in operatives’ hands across Lebanon,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The militant group was scrambling to assess the extent and nature of the explosions, which hit just a day after an attack attributed to Israel caused thousands of pagers carried by Hezbollah members to explode at roughly the same time, injuring more than 2,800 people and killing 12.”

“Details emerging from investigations into Tuesday’s pager attack pointed to a highly complex plan carried out by Israel, in which explosives were planted in thousands of devices destined for members of militant group Hezbollah and then detonated by a remote signal.”

New York Times: “For a second day, there were reports of communication devices exploding across Lebanon and in the southern suburbs of the capital, Beirut.”

Manchin and Sinema Could Get One Last Power Grab

September 18, 2024 at 10:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Democratic hopes for retaining control of the Senate appear to hinge on Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) winning re-election in a state that Donald Trump won by 16 percentage points. With 48 days to go, the polls don’t look great.

If Kamala Harris wins the presidency but Democrats lose the Senate, she would have to make some quick decisions:

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J.D. Vance Defends His Pet-Eating Remarks

September 18, 2024 at 10:02 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

At a rally last night, Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH) “defended his comments about Haitian immigrants eating pets” by “saying that ‘the media has a responsibility to fact-check stories – not him,” The Guardian reports.

U.S. Faces Deficit of 6 Million Workers

September 18, 2024 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“U.S. employers will confront a shortage of some 6 million workers within a decade,” Bloomberg reports.

“A combination of retirements, mismatches between workers and available jobs, and a decline in workforce participation among men is set to drive the gap, according to by Lightcast, a provider of labor market data. Based on expected growth in the population, it projects a 6 million shortfall of workers by 2032 compared with the current level.”

The Conservative Media’s Saddest Stenographer

September 18, 2024 at 9:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Last writes about conservative journalist Byron York, saying “you can learn a lot about how Trump happened and where the Republican party is headed by understanding the career of this one guy.”

How Demographic Shifts Could Swing the Election

September 18, 2024 at 9:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Cook Political Report launched the 2024 Demographic Swingometer — an interactive tool to simulate how fluctuations in turnout and partisan support could alter this year’s outcome in the Electoral College.

Melania Trump Goes Off Message

September 18, 2024 at 9:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Melania Trump’s latest video promoting her upcoming memoir asks: “Why do I stand proudly behind my nude modeling work?”

Georgia Officials Strategizing to Undermine 2024 Result

September 18, 2024 at 9:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Guardian reports on “a behind-the-scenes network of county election officials throughout Georgia coordinating on policy and messaging to both call the results of November’s election into question before a single vote is cast, and push rules and procedures favored by the election denial movement.”

Murdoch Family Battles Over Media Empire

September 18, 2024 at 9:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rupert Murdoch and his four oldest children were all seen entering probate court in Reno, Nevada on Tuesday for the second day of a pivotal trial over the family trust, the Daily Mail reports.

Eriq Gardner: “I keep getting asked about the likely outcome of this Murdoch trust trial, which is getting a lot more attention since I detailed the court location in Reno, the name of the judge, and the timeline.”

“Honestly, it’s tough to predict. Most of the substantive legal debate remains sealed, eluding even the most tenacious media efforts. That said, given the challenges of amending an irrevocable trust under Nevada law, and considering Rupert’s peculiar rationale—that he’s protecting James, Elisabeth, and Prudence from their own potential missteps by ensuring his politically aligned eldest son, Lachlan, stays in charge—I’d hardly bet on Rupert prevailing.”

DeWine Wants Lies About Haitians in Springfield to Stop

September 18, 2024 at 9:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine (R) told the PBS NewsHour that the lies about Springfield’s Haitian community are “very hurtful,” and “frankly, they need to stop.”

Billie Eilish and Finneas Endorse Harris

September 18, 2024 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Billie Eilish and Finneas have officially endorsed Kamala Harris for president because she is “fighting to protect our reproductive freedom, our planet and our democracy,” Variety reports.

J.D. Vance Keeps Pushing False Pet Eating Claim

September 18, 2024 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “A Vance spokesperson on Tuesday provided The Wall Street Journal with a police report in which a resident had claimed her pet might have been taken by Haitian neighbors. But when a reporter went to Anna Kilgore’s house Tuesday evening, she said her cat Miss Sassy, which went missing in late August, had actually returned a few days later—found safe in her own basement.”

“Kilgore, wearing a Trump shirt and hat, said she apologized to her Haitian neighbors with the help of her daughter and a mobile-phone translation app.”

111 Former Republican Officials Back Kamala Harris

September 18, 2024 at 8:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

More than 100 former national security officials from Republican administrations and former Republican members of Congress endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris on Wednesday after concluding that their party’s nominee, Donald Trump, is “unfit to serve again as president,” the New York Times reports.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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