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Democrats to Regain Control of Pennsylvania House

September 17, 2024 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Democrats will regain their majority in the Pennsylvania House today when voters in two Philadelphia-area districts head to the polls to fill vacancies, the AP reports.

No Republican filed to run in either district.

Harris Opens Up Biggest Lead to Date

September 17, 2024 at 10:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kamala Harris has opened up a 5-point lead nationally in The Economist‘s vote tracker.

Trump Arlington Cemetery Incident Under Investigation

September 17, 2024 at 10:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Law enforcement officials at a Virginia military base are still actively investigating an August incident at Arlington National Cemetery involving what has been described as a confrontation between former President Donald Trump’s campaign and a cemetery worker, even as the Army says it considers the matter closed,” ABC News reports.

“Investigators are seeking to interview the officials involved in the incident.”


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Will the Presidential Race Really Be Close?

September 17, 2024 at 10:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Everyone seems to agree that the presidential race is too close to call. That’s because while Kamala Harris currently holds a small lead nationally, the race is within the margin of error in seven key swing states.

But several indicators suggest Harris could actually win convincingly:

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GOP Lawmaker Injured in Lawnmower Accident

September 17, 2024 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kentucky state Sen. Johnnie Turner (R) was hospitalized following an accident involving a riding lawn mower Sunday afternoon in which he drove into the deep end of a swimming pool, the Kentucky Lantern reports.

Kelly Ayotte Holds Small Lead for New Hampshire Governor

September 17, 2024 at 9:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new St. Anselm College poll in New Hampshire finds former Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) leading Joyce Craig (D) 46% to 43% in the race to replace retiring Gov. Chris Sununu (R).

J.D. Vance Explains Trump’s ‘Concept of a Plan’

September 17, 2024 at 9:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Chait: “Donald Trump infamously said at the presidential debate he had the ‘concept of a plan’ to replace Obamacare. As is often the case when Trump commits verbal self-harm, it fell to J.D. Vance to turn his car wreck of a statement into an intelligible position.”

“What Vance came up with is not only surprising but, if understood properly, far more damaging than Trump’s original statement. The Trump plan, according to Vance, is to permit insurance companies to discriminate against people with preexisting conditions.”

Brian Beutler: Vance lets slip: He and Trump are coming for your health care.

Nikki Haley Gets a Radio Show

September 17, 2024 at 9:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nikki Haley is joining SiriusXM in a deal that will see her host a new weekly politics show for the satellite radio giant, the Hollywood Reporter reports.

“The show is slated to run through next year’s presidential inauguration as of now.”

Senate GOP Abandons Anti-Biden Strategy

September 17, 2024 at 9:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Republicans have quietly reversed course on trying to rebuke or embarrass the Biden White House, concerned it could help Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) stay in power,” Axios reports.

Sen. James Lankford (R-OK) admitted they were “not actually getting anything done” with the votes, but it created a situation in which Democrats “can send a message that they’re pretending to back home.”

Mike Johnson Will Push Forward on Funding Vote

September 17, 2024 at 9:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Mike Johnson is planning to hold a vote Wednesday on his six-month CR coupled with the SAVE Act, Punchbowl News reports.

The vote is likely to fail.

The Next January 6

September 17, 2024 at 8:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Democrats have spent much of the 2024 campaign reminding Americans of what happened on Jan. 6, 2021. But on Capitol Hill, some are already getting worried about Jan. 6, 2025,” Politico reports.

“They are hoping that Harris will win in November and they’ll flip the House, too — meaning it would likely be Hakeem Jeffries holding the speaker’s gavel as the process of certifying a Harris victory gets underway.”

“But it’s another scenario that is nagging top House Democrats — that Speaker Mike Johnson might keep his majority as Harris wins and find himself in a position where he could obstruct the counting of electoral votes and possibly throw the election to the House under the constitutional provisions of the 12th Amendment.”

Some Pro-Choice Republicans Come Back from Extinction

September 17, 2024 at 8:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Republicans have been twisting themselves in knots over abortion since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade just over two years ago. Now, a significant number of Republicans in tight races are expressing some level of support for abortion rights or its twin issue, in vitro fertilization — which for some of them is a reversal of previously held positions.”

“Republicans watched in the 2022 election cycle as voters sided with abortion rights measures in all six states with such measures on the ballot, and Republicans in House and Senate races underperformed as abortion became a key issue for voters.”

Nearly Half of Republicans Won’t Accept If Trump Loses

September 17, 2024 at 8:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nearly half of Republicans say they won’t accept the results of the presidential election if their candidate loses, and 14% of them say they would “take action to overturn” the results, USA Today reports.

Trump Can Soon Sell Shares in Trump Media

September 17, 2024 at 7:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “The company behind the Truth Social platform is worth more than $3.5 billion on Wall Street, and Trump owns more than half of it. So far, Trump and other insiders in the company known as TMTG have been unable to cash in because a ‘lock-up agreement’ has prevented them from selling any of their shares since TMTG began trading publicly in March.”

“Trump’s lock-up deal looks set to expire later this week. But if he sells, Trump risks sending a negative signal to other shareholders and prompting them to dump their shares. For now, Trump says he’s not selling.”

Trump Group Warns Noncitizens Against Voting

September 17, 2024 at 7:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A conservative group is launching a Spanish-language advertisement in critical battleground states that strikes two drastically different tones — first touting voting as patriotic but then warning that it is illegal for noncitizens to cast ballots in federal elections and that doing so can be a crime punishable by deportation,” NBC News reports.

“It is very rare for noncitizens to try to vote in elections; studies have found virtually no instances of it happening and no evidence that it could be occurring at a rate large enough to affect the outcome of an election.”

Quote of the Day

September 17, 2024 at 7:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Look violent rhetoric is wrong, and has no place. But MAGA pretending they didn’t light this fire is gaslighting to the 100th power. Since Trump showed up our politics has gone to crap.”

— Former Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-IL), quoted by the Washington Post.

Suspicious Packages Sent to Election Officials

September 17, 2024 at 7:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Suspicious packages were sent to election officials in at least six states on Monday, but there were no reports that any of the packages contained hazardous material,” ABC News reports.

GOP Candidate Doctored One Of His Campaign Ads

September 17, 2024 at 7:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The campaign of Montana GOP Senate candidate Tim Sheehy appears to have doctored a recent TV advertisement to remove a logo of the Property and Environment Research Center from the shirt he was wearing,” the HuffPost reports.

“PERC is a Montana-based think tank with a history of advocating for the privatization of federal public lands, which has become a central issue in the race.”

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Shy Voter: A “shy voter” is one who does not admit to supporting a certain candidate to pollsters, but still votes for that candidate in the election.….

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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