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Will the Obama Coaliton Survive?

November 17, 2014 at 8:53 am EST By Taegan Goddard 65 Comments

“The coalition of voters that twice elected President Obama to the White House might not be there for the Democratic nominee in 2016, party strategists are warning,” The Hill reports.

“Following their disastrous showing at the polls this month, many Democrats have consoled themselves with talk of how the groups that fueled Obama’s resounding victories — namely minorities and young people — will make up a bigger slice of the electorate in two years’ time. But some fear the party is placing far too much trust in demographics, while ignoring the unique circumstances that led to Obama’s rise.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Barack Obama

Quote of the Day

November 17, 2014 at 8:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard 23 Comments

“I privately talk to senators, and they’re just baffled. All the things that people were seriously upset with the administration about, it seems the president is doubling down on them.”

— Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-AL), quoted by the Washington Post, on a newly-combative President Obama.

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama

Obama on Collision Course with Republicans and Democrats

November 17, 2014 at 7:16 am EST By Taegan Goddard 3 Comments

“In the days since the U.S. midterm elections, President Obama has begun grooming his legacy in ways that place him on a collision course not just with Republicans in Congress, but with his own Democratic Party,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“All of it appears designed to demonstrate his continued relevancy on the heels of an election that solidified his status as a politically weakened lame duck.”

Politico: Obama turns to McConnell to secure legacy

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama


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Obama’s Email List Costs More Than $1.2 Million a Year

November 16, 2014 at 7:26 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 18 Comments

“The nonprofit group Organizing for Action is paying more than $1.2 million a year to rent what is widely believed to be the largest political email list ever created,” according to the Wall Street Journal.

“OFA is paying the Obama campaign — which still exists on paper — just under $5 million for a four-year rental of the campaign’s much vaunted email list and campaign data. OFA has paid about $1.3 million of the total balance, according to tax records.”

Filed Under: Business of Politics Tagged With: Barack Obama

GOP Lawmaker Says Impeachment Could Lead to Worse

November 15, 2014 at 9:51 am EST By Taegan Goddard 21 Comments

Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-SC) “put the kibosh on the idea of impeaching President Obama during a nationally television Fox News interview, telling his broadcast audience that booting the commander-in-chief from his office would open the doors to something even worse,” the Washington Times reports.

Said Gowdy: “Have you met Joe Biden?”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Trey Gowdy

Bonus Quote of the Day

November 15, 2014 at 8:44 am EST By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

“I am not looking forward to the next time I see him.”

— Chuck Todd, talking to Conan O’Brien about his new book, The Stranger: Barack Obama in the White House.

Filed Under: Political Books Tagged With: Barack Obama, Chuck Todd

Flashback of the Day

November 14, 2014 at 9:41 am EST By Taegan Goddard 50 Comments

“With respect to the notion that I can suspend deportations through executive order, that’s just not the case.”

— President Obama, quoted by the Washington Free Beacon, in 2012.

Filed Under: Immigration Tagged With: Barack Obama

The Loneliest President

November 14, 2014 at 7:55 am EST By Taegan Goddard 73 Comments

Peggy Noonan: “I have never seen a president in exactly the position Mr. Obama is, which is essentially alone. He’s got no one with him now. The Republicans don’t like him, for reasons both usual and particular: They have had no good experiences with him. The Democrats don’t like him, for their own reasons plus the election loss. Before his post-election lunch with congressional leaders, he told the press that he will judiciously consider any legislation, whoever sends it to him, Republicans or Democrats. His words implied that in this he was less partisan and more public-spirited than the hacks arrayed around him. It is for these grace notes that he is loved. No one at the table looked at him with colder, beadier eyes than outgoing Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid , who clearly doesn’t like him at all. The press doesn’t especially like the president; in conversation they evince no residual warmth. This week at the Beijing summit there was no sign the leaders of the world had any particular regard for him. They can read election returns. They respect power and see it leaking out of him. If Mr. Obama had won the election they would have faked respect and affection.”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama

GOP Divided Over Confronting Obama on Immigration

November 14, 2014 at 7:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard 11 Comments

Congressional Republicans “have split into competing factions over how to respond to President Obama’s expected moves to overhaul the nation’s immigration system,” the Washington Post reports.

“The first, favored by the GOP leadership, would have Republicans denounce what House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) has called ‘executive amnesty’ and use the party’s new grip on Congress to contest changes to the law incrementally in the months ahead.”

“The second, which has become the rallying cry for conservatives, would seek to block the president’s decision by shutting down the government for an extended period until he relents.”

Filed Under: Immigration Tagged With: Barack Obama

Obama Pushes Ahead on Many Fronts

November 14, 2014 at 7:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

“President Obama emerged from last week’s midterm election rejected by voters, hobbled politically and doomed to a final two years in office suffering from early lame-duck syndrome. That, at least, was the consensus in both parties. No one seems to have told Mr. Obama,” the New York Times reports.

“In the 10 days since ‘we got beat,’ as he put it, by Republicans who captured the Senate and bolstered control over the House, Mr. Obama has flexed his muscles on immigration, climate change and the Internet, demonstrating that he still aspires to enact sweeping policies that could help define his legacy.”

New Yorker: “Once upon a time—about six years ago, to be precise—Obama was a feted celebrity in Washington, too. These days, it’s not quite like that, of course, and the President, once he gets home, will be frequently and painfully reminded of what has changed. But perhaps it’s a bit early to write him off. “

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama

McConnell Says He’s ‘Disturbed’ By Obama’s Actions

November 13, 2014 at 6:06 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 32 Comments

Incoming Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) declared that he was “very disturbed” by President Obama’s recent attempts to exercise his executive powers, the Huffington Post reports.

“Those include moving ahead on dealing with undocumented immigrants, cutting a deal with China on climate change and suggesting that the Internet should be regulated like a utility under so-called net neutrality rules.”

Said McConnell: “I’ve been very disturbed about the way the president has proceeded in the wake of the election… I had maybe naively hoped the president wold look at the results of the election and decide to come to the political center and do some business with us. I still hope he does at some point, but the early signs are not good.”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama, Mitch McConnell

Obama Veers Left to Rally Democrats

November 13, 2014 at 9:57 am EST By Taegan Goddard 27 Comments

President Obama “has taken significant steps to the left since his party’s devastating losses in the midterm elections,” The Hill reports.

“In a surprise, he announced a major deal on climate change with China during a trip to Beijing Tuesday. That followed another unanticipated move — a Monday statement pressuring the Federal Communications Commission to adopt new net neutrality rules for the Internet. The moves are helping to rally a dispirited Democratic base while re-establishing Obama’s political leadership after he was sidelined during the midterms.”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama

GOP Lawmaker Calls Impeachment a ‘Fantasy’

November 12, 2014 at 2:38 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 11 Comments

Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK) denied on MSNBC assertions made by Rep. James Clyburn (D-SC) that Republicans were planning to impeach President Obama.

Said Cole: “No impeachment legislation is pending, none has been proposed. I know of no one who favors that as a course that’s in any leadership position.”

He added: “I think this is a Democratic fantasy, and I certainly don’t see it coming to pass.”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama

A Drive-Thru President

November 12, 2014 at 11:18 am EST By Taegan Goddard 37 Comments

Elizabeth Drew: “It’s well understood around Washington that the president has a less than stellar collection of White House advisors and a weak national security staff in particular. New presidents without a lot of governing experience can make rookie mistakes, but six years on Obama continues to make them. And not just on foreign policy. He talked his way into a terrible predicament over whether he’d issue an executive order bypassing congressional inaction on immigration; his postponement of his original plan to issue these orders, announced early this summer, resulted in a significant drop in Hispanic support of the Democrats, which had been crucial to earlier Democratic victories in Colorado. (A Democrat senator said to me, ‘This is what you get when you have a drive-through president.’)”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama

Think Obama Won’t Be On the Ballot in 2016?

November 12, 2014 at 10:38 am EST By Taegan Goddard 35 Comments

Nathan Gonzales: “In 2006, Republicans lost 31 House seats and six Senate seats, as well as majorities in both chambers. GOP strategists understood voters were sending their party a message. But they also took some solace that unpopular President George W. Bush was in the twilight of his tenure and wouldn’t be on the ballot again. They were wrong.”

“In two years between the 2006 midterm elections and the 2008 presidential election, Bush’s job approval rating dipped even lower… Congressional Democrats and Illinois Sen. Barack Obama ran against Bush again in 2008 and Republicans lost another 21 House seats and eight more Senate seats. It didn’t matter President Bush wasn’t actually on the ballot and wouldn’t be in office the following year. Democratic candidates ran against him anyway. Bush’s low standing primed the country for more Democrats, even though they already controlled the House and Senate.”

“There is significant risk for Democrats that Obama and his policies will be on the ballot again in 2016.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Barack Obama

Will Climate Change be Obama’s 2nd Term Legacy?

November 12, 2014 at 10:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard 13 Comments

First Read: “President Obama’s second term in office has been lacking in big achievements. Background checks for gun purchases didn’t make it through the Senate. Immigration reform isn’t becoming law this Congress, though the president is expected to take executive action on this front. And just last week, Obama’s party took a major drubbing in the midterm elections. But there is one potential second-term achievement that’s taking more and more shape — on climate change.”

“Remember, Obama made combating climate change a big part of his second inaugural address… Of course, it came after he disappointed supporters in his first term (no cap-and-trade bill through the Senate). And it’s important to point out that Obama’s second-term actions on the climate — the EPA rules, the deal with China — are unilateral actions that can be undone by another president. But make no mistake: This is Obama’s pet issue of his second term.”

Wonk Wire: How to sell a (carbon) tax to Republicans

Filed Under: Environment, White House Tagged With: Barack Obama, legacy

Republicans Don’t Want Compromise with Obama

November 12, 2014 at 7:17 am EST By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

Screen Shot 2014-11-12 at 7.16.40 AMPew Research: “A majority of Americans would like to see Barack Obama and Republican leaders work together over the coming year. But Republicans are far more likely than Democrats to favor a confrontational approach toward the political opposition, even if that results in less getting done.”

“Overall, 57% of the public says Republican leaders in Washington should try as best they can to work with Barack Obama to accomplish things, even if it means disappointing some groups of Republican supporters, while 40% say they should ‘stand up’ to Obama on issues that are important to Republican supporters, even if it means less gets done in Washington. And by about a two-to-one margin (62% to 30%) more say Obama should work with Republicans than say he should stand up to the GOP.”

Filed Under: Republicans Tagged With: Barack Obama, compromise

Obama Seeks to Shake Lame Duck Label

November 10, 2014 at 11:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard 5 Comments

“Within hours of landing here on Monday, President Obama took credit for the release of two Americans detained in North Korea, defended his decision to send more military trainers to Iraq, vowed to expand trade with Asia and unilaterally extended the life of U.S. visas held by Chinese students, businesspeople and tourists,” the Los Angeles Times reports.

“With the efficacy of his waning presidency in question, Obama began a weeklong trip to Asia and Australia seemingly bent on demonstrating the tools still at his disposal.”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Barack Obama

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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