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Bush and Rubio Continue to Trail in Florida

December 22, 2015 at 7:40 am EST By Taegan Goddard 5 Comments

A new AIF poll in Florida finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 29%, followed by Ted Cruz at 18%, Marco Rubio at 17% and Jeb Bush at 10%.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

Rubio and Bush Trail In Their Home State

December 16, 2015 at 5:52 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 21 Comments

A new St. Pete Polls survey in Florida finds Donald Trump leads the GOP presidential race with 36%, followed by Ted Cruz at 22%, Marco Rubio at 17% and Jeb Bush at 9%.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

Trump Holds Commanding Lead in Florida

November 18, 2015 at 10:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard 37 Comments

A new Florida Atlantic University poll finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race in Florida with 36%, followed by Marco Rubio at 18%, Ben Carson at 15%, Ted Cruz at 10% and Jeb Bush at 9%.

Said pollster Kevin Wagner: “Despite conjecture that Donald Trump has plateaued, his support in Florida remains very strong and could be growing.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida


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Trump Leads in Florida

November 2, 2015 at 1:14 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 43 Comments

A new Viewpoint Florida poll finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 27%, followed by Marco Rubio at 16%, Ben Carson at 15%, Ted Cruz at 12% and Jeb Bush at 12%.

Key finding: “Without Bush in the race, Trump has a problem: He gets no added benefit, but Rubio’s support jumps up so that he almost ties the frontrunner, 24-27 percent. The rest of the GOP field is essentially unchanged.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

Trump Leads Both Rubio and Bush in Florida

September 29, 2015 at 8:49 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 24 Comments

A new Florida Chamber Political Institute poll finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race in Florida with 25%, followed by Sen. Marco Rubio at 14% and Jeb Bush at 13%.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

Trump Crushing Rubio and Bush in Florida

September 23, 2015 at 8:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 25 Comments

A new Florida Atlantic University poll in Florida finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 32%, followed by Marco Rubio at 19%, Jeb Bush at 11%, Ben Carson at 10% and Carly Fiorina at 8%.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

Trump Leads GOP Field in Florida

July 29, 2015 at 4:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 44 Comments

A new St. Pete Polls survey in Florida finds Donald Trump leading the GOP poll with 26%, followed by Jeb Bush at 20%, Scott Walker at 12%, Marco Rubio at 10% and Ben Carson at 5%.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

Bush Holds Big Lead Over Rubio in Florida

July 24, 2015 at 7:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 13 Comments

A new Mason-Dixon poll in Florida finds Jeb Bush holds a commanding lead over Sen. Marco Rubio among registered Florida Republicans, 28% to 16%, who have soured on the senator since he announced his presidential bid in April.

“Rubio’s 15 percentage-point drop coincides with the rise of Gov. Scott Walker, who’s now in third place with 13 percent – an 11 point increase for the Wisconsin governor since the April survey.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

Rubio Runs Strongest Against Clinton in Swing States

June 17, 2015 at 6:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 49 Comments

A new Quinnipiac poll finds that Sen. Marco Rubio runs best against Hillary Clinton in 2016 presidential matchups with eight top Republican contenders in three critical swing states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Key finding: Voters in each state say by margins of 8 to 14 percentage points that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania

Rubio Catches Bush in Florida

June 10, 2015 at 2:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 20 Comments

A new Saint Leo University survey in Florida shows Sen. Marco Rubio (R) has pulled even with former Gov. Jeb Bush (R) as the top choice of Florida Republicans for president of the United States.

“By several measures, support for Rubio has surged since he officially declared his presidential candidacy earlier this spring, while Bush’s support has plateaued. Presented with a long list of candidates, Bush remains the top choice of Florida Republicans.  However, Rubio’s support rose by eight points since a March survey by Saint Leo University, while Bush’s support stayed flat. Rubio also saw an eight-point increase in the number of voters naming him as their second choice. Combining the first and second place votes, Rubio has overtaken Bush. Rubio combines for 53 percent first- and second-choice votes, whereas Bush receives 42 percent.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio

Walker Says He Might Skip Florida Primary

May 26, 2015 at 4:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 24 Comments

Gov. Scott Walker suggested he might avoid an expensive primary fight in Florida while Sen. Marco Rubio and former Gov. Jeb Bush battle it out for favorite son, the New York Times reports.

Said Walker: “The neat thing about being around the country is that if we choose to get in, I don’t think there’s a state out there where we couldn’t play in, other than maybe Florida, where Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio are at least in some of the polls essentially tied. They’re going to eat up a lot of the financial advantage that Governor Bush is going to have.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida, Scott Walker

Florida Republicans Paralyzed by Infighting

April 28, 2015 at 11:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 32 Comments

Miami Herald: “They can’t agree on using federal money for people with no health care and as a result, budget negotiations are in disarray in a year with a $1 billion surplus. Unable to resolve their differences after months of refusing to compromise, Republican lawmakers will end the regular session next Friday without completing the one task they are required to do: passing a state budget.”

“The government of the nation’s third-largest state is controlled by one party, yet the standoff is Republican against Republican, in some cases involving members of the same family. House Republicans have been distracted by a leadership coup while Gov. Rick Scott is personally threatening to veto Republican senators’ bills and spending items unless they approve his tax cuts of $673 million.”

Filed Under: Republicans Tagged With: Florida

Rubio and Bush Deadlocked in Florida

April 17, 2015 at 7:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 12 Comments

A new Mason-Dixon poll in Florida finds Sen. Marco Rubio (R) and Jeb Bush (R) essentially tied for the GOP presidential nomination in their home state. Rubio gets 31%, Bush had 30% and 17% were undecided.

Said pollster Brad Coker: “I think Rubio’s rollout was pretty good and he probably got a bump out of it. A good rollout is like a primary win: you get about three days of good media coverage and a little lift in the polls.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

Clinton Leads Both Bush and Rubio in Florida

March 25, 2015 at 2:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 15 Comments

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Florida finds Hillary Clinton has leads of 2 to 8 points over all of the potential GOP contenders in the state.

Marco Rubio comes the closest at just a 48 to 46 deficit and Jeb Bush is down by a similar margin at 47 to 44.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

Walker Catches Bush in Florida

March 5, 2015 at 1:52 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

A new Gravis Marketing survey in Florida finds Jeb Bush barely ahead of Scott Walker in a GOP presidential primary in his home state, 24% to 23%.

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) is way back at just 11% support.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Florida

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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