A new Nevada Independent/OH Predictive Insights poll finds Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) leads likely opponent Adam Laxalt (R) by 8 percentage points among registered voters, 43% to 35%.
The poll follows one recently released by the Reno Gazette-Journal which showed Cortez Masto trailing Laxalt by 4 points among likely voters.
A new Suffolk University/Reno Gazette Journal poll in Nevada finds Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) and Gov. Steve Sisolak (D) are now polling behind candidates once considered long-shots to take their jobs.
In the U.S. Senate race, Adam Laxalt (R) tops Masto 43% to 40%, while Sam Brown (R) edges her 41% to 40%.
In the race for Governor, John Lee (R) leads Sisolak 40% to 37%, while Dean Heller (R) is tied at 39%.
Said pollster David Paleologos: “Any time an incumbent polls under 50%, he or she is deemed vulnerable because they are established brands. Moreover, when incumbents poll at or below 40% it is much worse, because it is very difficult to convince undecideds to vote for you when they remain undecided despite telling us that they are very interested in voting in this election.”
The Cook Political Report moved three U.S. Senate races next year — in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada — from Lean Democrat to Toss Up.
Join for as low as $6 per month. Learn more.
Already a member? Sign in here.
A new Nevada Independent poll finds Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) holds a narrow lead over her likely opponent Adam Laxalt (R), 45% to 41%.
Former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt (R) plans to run for the U.S. Senate against incumbent Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) in 2022, the AP reports.
He officially filed last night.
The head of the Senate Republican campaign arm says he expects former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt (R) to challenge Sen. Catherine Cortez-Masto (D-NV) next year, the Associated Press reports.
Former Gov. Brian Sandoval (R) confirmed that he will not challenge Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) in 2022, the Nevada Independent reports.
Said Sandoval: “I have no interest in running and I will not be a candidate.”
“With a message largely focused on providing better access to health care, immigration reform and helping Nevada rebound from the pandemic-triggered recession, Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) officially announced her bid for a second term Wednesday,” the Nevada Independent reports.
President Trump said that former Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) lost his re-election bid last fall because the Nevada Republican had been “extraordinarily hostile” to him during the 2016 election and the conservative base “wouldn’t go for him,” the Las Vegas Review Journal reports.
When told of Trump’s comments, Heller said: “This president called me that day before the election and said I was going to win by five points. Now all of sudden he has a different spin on that. Not surprising. I think America’s used to that.”
Jon Ralston does not think Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) will win re-election on Tuesday.
“It’s sad in a way for me to contemplate this. Heller is genuinely one of the nicest people I have met in politics. That incandescent smile, that buoyant demeanor, that carefree mien. But he has surrounded himself with a confederacy of jerks who have not served him well, and he has traveled far from the days when he was a maverick secretary of state who really seemed to believe in things 25 years ago.”
“He is now willing to sacrifice his self-respect to embrace – nay, fawn over – a man he would ordinarily disdain (and did just two years ago) to clutch onto a job he does not like and is not very good at. Heller’s Velcroing himself to Trump is a pathetic act of political opportunism and so out of (what I thought was) his character.”
A new CNN poll in Nevada finds Jacky Rosen (D) leading Sen. Dean Heller in the U.S. Senate race, 48% to 45% among likely voters.
Still, 10% of likely voters in the state say they haven’t yet made a firm decision on the race.
Key findings: “There’s been almost no change in the Nevada survey in the demographic divides fueling voter preferences. There remains a sharp gender gap, with a majority of women behind Rosen and most men backing Heller. White voters with college degrees narrowly break toward Rosen, while whites without a degree favor Heller by a wide margin.”
The Crystal Ball released a few new Reuters/Ipsos polls of competitive races:
Also interesting:
A new Emerson College poll in Nevada finds that Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) holds a 7-point lead against challenger Jacky Rosen (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 48% to 41% among likely voters.
For comparison, the RealClearPolitics polling average shows Heller ahead by 1.7%.
First Read: “Just 23.2% of adults over 25 in Nevada have a bachelor’s degree or higher… There are just five states with a lower share — and all of them are Trump-friendly states in the American South: Louisiana (23%), Kentucky (22.7%), Arkansas (21.5%), Mississippi (21%) and West Virginia (19.6%).”
“And Nevada has the third-lowest share of women over 25 who have a bachelor’s degree or higher, also 23.2%. The others: Mississippi (22.6%), Arkansas (22.2%) and West Virginia (20.1%).”
“The recent Democrat success in Nevada — Obama in 2008 and 2012, Harry Reid in 2010 and Hillary Clinton in 2016 — has been due largely to the growing Latino vote in Nevada. But the college-educated white women that are fueling much of the Democratic resistance across the country? There aren’t as many of them in Nevada as there are in, say, the Midwest.”
A new NBC News/Marist poll in Nevada finds Sen. Dean Heller (R-NY) leading challenger Jacky Rosen (D), 46% to 44%.
A new CNN/SRSS poll in Nevada finds Jacky Rosen (D) leading Sen. Dean Heller (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 43% among likely voters.
Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) called President Trump “a great leader” who had revived Nevada’s economy, a striking departure from the arm’s-length approach Mr. Heller took with Mr. Trump in the 2016 campaign and in the first months of his presidency, the New York Times reports.
“In a private conference call with White House aides, other Nevada Republican officials and local activists, Mr. Heller — the most endangered Senate Republican up for re-election this November — offered an unqualified embrace of the president.”
Said Heller: “Our arms are wide open. We’re so thrilled to have the president.”
Reuters/Ipsos surveyed four U.S. Senate battlegrounds and found very tight races:
And the governor’s races in the same states:
☑️ Have you have ever wondered if or how the United States might break up? Now available as an audio book: A More Perfect Union: Reimagining The United States as a European Union-style Federation.
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.
Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.
Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.
Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.