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Accused Russian Spy Reaches Plea Deal

December 10, 2018 at 11:06 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Accused Russian spy Maria Butina appears to have reached a plea deal with federal prosecutors,” CNN reports.

“Butina is accused of trying to infiltrate Republican political circles and party leaders during the 2016 campaign in order to advance Russian interests, and prosecutors have said the former American University student was in touch with politically powerful Russians about her activities in the US.”

USA Today: “She is accused of infiltrating multiple political organizations, including the National Rifle Association, to gain influence for Russia.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia

How the Russians Compromised Trump

December 8, 2018 at 5:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Very few people, including Donald Trump himself, thought Trump would win the 2016 presidential election. That’s what makes the Trump Tower Moscow deal so interesting and relevant to Robert Mueller’s investigation.

This section of the Michael Cohen sentencing memo released yesterday really sticks out:

The defendant’s false statements obscured the fact that the Moscow Project was a lucrative business opportunity that sought, and likely required, the assistance of the Russian government. If the project was completed, the Company could have received hundreds of millions of dollars from Russian sources in licensing fees and other revenues. The fact that Cohen continued to work on the project and discuss it with Individual 1 well into the campaign was material to the ongoing congressional and SCO investigations, particularly because it occurred at a time of sustained efforts by the Russian government to interfere with the U.S. presidential election. Similarly, it was material that Cohen, during the campaign, had a substantive telephone call about the project with an assistant to the press secretary for the President of Russia.

Cohen even had a scheduled trip to Moscow to work on the deal. It was only cancelled after news of Russia’s hacking of Democratic emails came to light.

From the beginning, Trump thought of running for president as something that might benefit his business. He did this directly by holding events at various Trump properties and indirectly by selling Trump-branded merchandise. He investigated launching a “Trump TV” channel to capitalize on his notoriety after he lost. He even bragged that his presidential campaign might be the first to ever turn a profit.

As Marcy Wheeler writes:

The Trumps were monetizing this running-for-President thing, and they were happy to make campaign promises to Russians bearing dirt, because the point wasn’t to actually win the election. It was about the hundreds of millions they stood to gain.

That’s how the Russians infiltrated Trump’s campaign. They appealed directly to Trump’s greed and that of those around him. Whether it was Michael Flynn or Paul Manafort or Michael Cohen, people close to Vladimir Putin had no problem getting inside the inner circle of the Trump campaign. If Trump won, they could use their extensive kompromat to extort sanction relief.

Of course, the Russians probably thought Trump wasn’t going to win either. But their bigger goal was undermine American democracy while weakening Hillary Clinton in case she became president. Trump was more than happy to help in this cause — especially if he saw a business opportunity at the end. This was one example of the “political synergy” that a Russian described to Cohen.

More from Wheeler:

And all the election help and policy payoffs were just side shows to Trump. So long as he showed a willingness to damage Hillary Clinton in any way available, the Russians were happy to have him believe this was just about a silly tower in Moscow.

That Trump actually became president was a valuable but unanticipated payoff for Putin after months — or even years — of cultivating Trump.

Filed Under: Uncategorized

Russian State Media Roasts Trump

December 2, 2018 at 5:39 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Daily Beast: “Following the abrupt cancellation of Donald Trump’s G20 meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Russian state media roasted him. Known for seamlessly adhering to the Kremlin’s viewpoint, the troupe of Putin’s cheerleaders took turns laying into the president of the United States.”

Said one commentator: “Trump is a rock hanging around Russia’s neck.”

Said another: “What kind of a man is this – first he says it will happen, then it won’t… This is just foolishness, he seems to be an unbalanced person.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia


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Testimony Suggests Russia Had Leverage Over Trump

December 2, 2018 at 10:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Jerry Nadler (D-NY), the incoming chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, told NBC News that new revelations from Michael Cohen amount to proof that Russia had “leverage” over Donald Trump during the 2016 presidential campaign.

Said Nadler: “The fact that he was lying to the American people about doing business in Russia and the Kremlin knew he was lying gave the Kremlin a hold over him.”

He added: “One question we have now is, does the Kremlin still have a hold over him because of other lies that they know about?”

Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA), the incoming chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, told ABC News the same thing: “There is now testimony, there is now a witness, who confirms that in the same way Michael Flynn was compromised, that the president and his business are compromised.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Russia

Trump Gave Russia Leverage Over His Presidency

November 30, 2018 at 8:25 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Atlantic: “At the very beginning of Trump’s presidency, as soon as he lied in that press conference, Vladimir Putin and Russian intelligence possessed the ability to unmask Trump as a liar to the American public, revealing damaging information to Congress and the public about which they had previously been ignorant. BuzzFeed’s account of the negotiations involving a potential Trump Tower in Moscow hints at the wealth of documentary evidence that the Russians would possess to back up their claims.”

“As it would turn out, that was merely the beginning of their leverage. In September 2017, Donald Trump Jr. gave sworn Senate testimony that may be contradicted by Thursday’s revelations, raising the prospect that the Russians have been in possession of evidence suggesting that the president’s son may have committed a felony. And once Cohen lied to Congress about the matter, the Russians were in a position to expose the unlawful behavior of Trump’s personal attorney.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia

A Direct Connection Between Trump and Putin

November 29, 2018 at 5:11 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Garrett Graff: “The new guilty plea firmly—and dramatically—shifts the narrative and timeline of the Russia investigation, establishing that while pursuing the White House, Donald Trump was also pursuing personal business deals with a foreign adversary that, according to Mueller’s earlier indictments, engaged in a multifaceted, complex, expensive, and long-running criminal conspiracy to help deliver Trump to the presidency.”

“The guilty plea—which, like every step of the Mueller investigation took even close watchers by surprise with its timing and rich level of detail—draws a direct connection between Donald Trump’s business deals and Russian president Vladimir Putin.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Russia

Trump Suddenly Cancels Meeting with Putin

November 29, 2018 at 11:44 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump announced he would not meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin as planned at the G-20 summit over tensions with Ukraine.

The announcement came just an hour after Trump told reporters the meeting would “probably” go ahead as planned and two hours after Michael Cohen plead guilty to lying about his work on Trump’s behalf in Russia.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia, Vladimir Putin

Russia Says Trump-Putin Meeting Still On

November 28, 2018 at 7:54 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CBS News: “Russia said on Wednesday it still expects a meeting between President Vladimir Putin and President Donald Trump to go ahead as planned. Mr. Trump, in an interview with The Washington Post on Tuesday, said he may cancel the sit-down with Putin in Argentina following Russia’s seizure of three Ukrainian naval ships last weekend.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia

Accused Russian Spy Seeking Plea Deal

November 16, 2018 at 1:15 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Lawyers for alleged Russian spy Mariia Butina have entered into negotiations with federal prosecutors,” NBC News reports.

“The two sides requested to postpone the next hearing in the case because they are currently ‘in negotiations regarding a potential resolution of this matter,’ indicating that they are working towards a plea agreement.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia

Trump Says U.S. Will Pull Out of Missile Pact with Russia

October 20, 2018 at 6:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump said he would pull out of a Cold-War era treaty with Russia that limited the number of missiles in each country because Russia has violated the agreement, USA Today reports.

Said Trump: “Russia has violated the agreement. They have been violating it for many years. And we’re not going to let them violate a nuclear agreement and go out and do weapons and we’re not allowed to.”

He said the U.S. would pull out “and then we are going to develop the weapons” unless Russia and China agree to a new deal, though China isn’t currently a party of the agreement.

The Guardian reported that John Bolton was pushing for the U.S. to withdraw “in the face of resistance from others in the Trump administration and U.S. allies.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia

Russian Charged In Attempt to Interfere in Midterms

October 19, 2018 at 2:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Justice Department on Friday charged a Russian woman for her role in a conspiracy to interfere with the 2018 U.S. election, marking the first criminal case prosecutors have brought against a foreign national for meddling in the upcoming Midterms,” the Washington Post reports.

“The charges against Elena Khusyaynova came just as the Office of the Director of National Intelligence warned that it was concerned about ‘ongoing campaigns’ by Russia, China and Iran to interfere with the upcoming Midterm elections and even the 2020 race — an ominous warning that comes just weeks before voters head to the polls.”

Filed Under: 2018 Campaign Tagged With: Russia

Exchange of the Day

October 14, 2018 at 8:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump was interviewed by Lesley Stahl on 60 Minutes:

TRUMP: I think I’m very tough with him personally. I had a meeting with him. The two of us. It was a very tough meeting and it was a very good meeting.

STAHL: Do you agree that Vladimir Putin is involved in assassinations? In poisonings?

TRUMP: Probably he is, yeah. Probably. I mean, I don’t–

STAHL: Probably?

TRUMP: But I rely on them, it’s not in our country.

STAHL: Why not– they shouldn’t do it. This is a terrible thing.

TRUMP: Of course they shouldn’t do it-

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia

Russia Hatched Secret Plan to Rescue Julian Assange

September 21, 2018 at 1:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Russian diplomats held secret talks in London last year with people close to Julian Assange to assess whether they could help him flee the UK,” the Guardian reports.

“A tentative plan was devised that would have seen the WikiLeaks founder smuggled out of Ecuador’s London embassy in a diplomatic vehicle and transported to another country. One ultimate destination, multiple sources have said, was Russia, where Assange would not be at risk of extradition to the US.”

“The plan was abandoned after it was deemed too risky.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Julian Assange, Russia

Trump Walks Back Plan to Declassify Probe Documents

September 21, 2018 at 11:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump “walked back his order earlier this week to declassify information in the ongoing probe into Russian interference in the 2016 election, saying Justice Department officials and others had persuaded him not to do so for the time being,” the Washington Post reports.

“The retreat from his declassification decree issued just four days ago underscores the ongoing tensions between the White House and the Justice Department over the probe by special counsel Robert Mueller III, who is examining whether any Trump associates may have conspired with the Kremlin to interfere in the election.”

First Read notes Trump hinted at this move last night: “We are moving along, we’re working along. We are also dealing with foreign countries that do have a problem. I must tell you. I got called today from two very good allies saying ‘Please, can we talk.’ It is not as simple as all of that. We do have to respect their wishes. But it will all come out.”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Russia

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 15, 2018 at 8:07 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I don’t know that, but I believe very strongly that the answer to the Russian collusion story is in Russia… If somebody who is really going to get to the bottom of the root Russian collusion issue, the answer is in Moscow… If I were to go there, I don’t think I would ever come back.”

— Bob Woodward, in an interview in New York magazine.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Russia

House GOP Blocks Effort to Reveal Trump-Putin Meeting

September 13, 2018 at 3:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Foreign Affairs Committee Republicans have rejected Democrats’ request that the State Department turn over documents that would explain what President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed in their July one-on-one meeting in Helsinki,” Axios reports.

“Lawmakers and Americans still don’t know the substance of what was discussed during Trump’s meeting with Putin, but there is no momentum from the Republican majority on Capitol Hill to compel those details from the administration.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia, Vladimir Putin

U.S. Suspects Russia Behind Attacks on Diplomats

September 11, 2018 at 6:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Intelligence agencies investigating mysterious ‘attacks’ that led to brain injuries in U.S. personnel in Cuba and China consider Russia to be the main suspect,” NBC News reports.

“The suspicion that Russia is likely behind the alleged attacks is backed up by evidence from communications intercepts, known in the spy world as signals intelligence, amassed during a lengthy and ongoing investigation involving the FBI, the CIA and other U.S. agencies. The officials declined to elaborate on the nature of the intelligence.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Cuba, Russia

Justice Department Tried to Flip Russian Oligarchs

September 1, 2018 at 2:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “In one dramatic encounter, F.B.I. agents appeared unannounced and uninvited at a home Mr. Deripaska maintains in New York and pressed him on whether Paul Manafort, a former business partner of his who went on to become chairman of Mr. Trump’s campaign, had served as a link between the campaign and the Kremlin.”

“The attempt to flip Mr. Deripaska was part of a broader, clandestine American effort to gauge the possibility of gaining cooperation from roughly a half-dozen of Russia’s richest men, nearly all of whom, like Mr. Deripaska, depend on President Vladimir V. Putin to maintain their wealth.”

“The systematic effort to win the cooperation of the oligarchs, which has not previously been revealed, does not appear to have scored any successes. And in Mr. Deripaska’s case, he told the American investigators that he disagreed with their theories about Russian organized crime and Kremlin collusion in the campaign… The person added that Mr. Deripaska even notified the Kremlin about the American efforts to cultivate him.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs Tagged With: Russia

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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