A new Texas Southern University poll finds Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) trails Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by just five points in the Republican Senate primary, 44% to 39%, an indication he may be winnowing down a huge polling gap.
Inside the Big-Dollar Rescue Mission for John Cornyn
“Senate Republicans are planning to spend tens of millions of dollars over the next few months to rescue Texas GOP Sen. John Cornyn, hoping to reintroduce him to Lone Star State conservatives and save his flagging primary prospects,” Punchbowl News reports.
“The Senate Leadership Fund, the top GOP super PAC focused on Senate races, urged donors last week to open their wallets to help Cornyn beat back a challenge from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, arguing the race could become a costly disaster without immediate intervention.”
Inside Ken Paxton’s Long Distance Effort for a Trump Nod
“Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton recently found himself roughly 4,500 miles from home as he sought one thing that could give him an edge in his bitter primary fight against GOP Sen. John Cornyn: an endorsement from President Donald Trump,” CNN reports.
“On the last Saturday in July, Paxton was in the Scottish village of Turnberry at the president’s luxury golf resort, where the Texas attorney general encountered his occasional golf partner out on the links of Trump Turnberry.”
“Trump and Paxton did not play a round together on the course in western Scotland that overlooks the Irish Sea, and it’s not clear if the president was expecting to see him there. But the two crossed paths and spoke privately for several minutes about the Texas race.”
Rick Perry Backs John Cornyn
Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) endorsed Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate.
Ronny Jackson Floats Senate Bid in Texas
Rep. Ronny Jackson (R-TX) met with the White House recently about the possibility of jumping into the Texas senate race, Semafor reports.
Adultery Allegations Jolt Senate Race in Texas
“Firebrand Texas Republican Ken Paxton’s long record of political resilience in the face of scandal faces a new test after his wife filed for divorce and accused him of adultery, jolting a contentious primary for U.S. Senate,” the Washington Post reports.
“The race, seen as one of the biggest GOP primaries of the midterms, was already dramatic, with a longtime incumbent, John Cornyn, fighting for his political life against Paxton, the state attorney general styling himself as more loyal to President Donald Trump. Now, Cornyn and his allies are bringing up the filing as they run against Paxton, and some Paxton backers are rethinking their support.”
Texas Senate Shifts To Likely Republican
With surveys showing Ken Paxton (R) as the Republican frontrunner for U.S. Senate in Texas, the Cook Political Report shifts its rating for the seat from Solid to Likely Republican.
“Were Paxton to win the primary, we would consider shifting our rating further in Democrats’ direction.”
Cornyn Appeals to Trump for Endorsement
Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), who faces a tough GOP primary challenger in Ken Paxton (R), is pleading directly with President Trump for his endorsement, but the president has so far demurred, NBC News reports.
Cornyn Raised Less Than $1 Million Last Quarter
Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) raised just $803,952 for his re-election committee and has $5.9 million on hand.
Meanwhile, GOP primary challenger Ken Paxton (R) brought in $2.9 million and has $2.5 million on hand.
The Texas Senate Race Is Turning Into an Absolute Mess
“The Texas Senate race is turning into the wildest mess of the midterms — and it’s just getting messier,” NOTUS reports.
“The battle between Republican Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton for the GOP Senate nomination just continues to get bloodier. Cornyn trails in the primary polls, but is broadly seen as the best Republican to defeat the eventual Democratic nominee.”
“Meanwhile, Paxton’s election vulnerabilities were on full display last week when his wife filed for divorce “on biblical grounds,” a seeming reference to the affair rumors that have swirled around the scandal-plagued Paxton for years.”
Trump to Stay Out of Texas Primary for Now
“President Donald Trump huddled Wednesday evening in the Oval Office with Senate Majority Leader John Thune and top Senate GOP campaign officials about the 2026 midterm elections,” Punchbowl News reports.
“During the meeting, Trump administration officials made clear to Thune and the Senate Leadership Fund that they were going to let the race between Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton play out a bit before deciding whether and how to engage in the contest. The White House wants to see whether the polling gap between Cornyn and Paxton will close. The primary is scheduled for March.”
Ken Paxton’s Wife Files for Divorce
Texas state Sen. Angela Paxton (R) has filed for divorce from her husband, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), KUT News reports.
“Ken Paxton is running for U.S. Senate against John Cornyn. The attorney general has long been dogged with allegations of infidelity, including during impeachment proceedings in 2023 that ended in his acquittal. He was accused of securing a job for the woman with whom he was having an alleged affair.”
Another Poll Shows John Cornyn Getting Trounced
Politico: “It’s getting late early for John Cornyn. Yet another poll shows the four-term incumbent lagging well behind his hard-right challenger, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, in next year’s primary.”
“The poll, conducted on behalf of a Paxton-allied super PAC, shows the Texas attorney general with a commanding 19-point lead over the incumbent — 57% to 38% — in a head-to-head matchup of Texas Republican primary voters.”
Former Astronaut Launches Texas Senate Run
“Terry Virts, a retired NASA astronaut, is not a household name, even in his home of Houston. But the way he announced his campaign on Monday for Senator John Cornyn’s seat in Texas, taking a swing at both political parties, may be blazing a trail for Democratic candidates in 2026,” the New York Times reports.
“Mr. Virts’ official announcement video was revealing in two ways. It reflected the growing hunger among Democratic outsiders to take on President Trump. And it underscored how such outsiders believe the best way to do that is to also take on the Democratic leaders in Washington.”
Cornyn Trails Paxton by 22 Points
Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) trails Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by 22 points, according to a new independent poll of the Senate GOP primary, 50% to 28%.
Punchbowl News: “When asked in a recent TV interview why he was trailing Paxton in early polls, Cornyn attributed it to “primarily name identification.” But only 7% of voters hadn’t heard of Cornyn, per Blizzard’s poll, while 5% had not heard of Paxton.”
John Cornyn Taps Top Trump Aide for Re-Election Bid
“Sen. John Cornyn has enlisted Chris LaCivita, a top political adviser to President Trump, to help him beat back a primary challenge from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton,” Axios reports.
“LaCivita’s involvement doesn’t guarantee an endorsement from Trump in what is expected to be the GOP’s most expensive Senate primary. But it does show how Cornyn, long regarded as more country club than MAGA, is moving to align himself with the president.”
Cornyn’s Primary Problems Begin to Scare Republicans
“With the GOP’s Texas Senate primary already getting nasty, many Republicans are nervous that Sen. John Cornyn can only beat Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton if President Donald Trump intervenes — and sources said that seems unlikely at the moment,” NOTUS reports.
“Several polls show Cornyn trailing. But the severity of the situation became clear last week when Cornyn touted a poll on X showing him down 16 points, reasoning that Paxton’s lead is ‘shrinking already.'”
Said Cornyn: “He must be getting nervous.”
Texas Republicans May Give Democrats an Opening
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