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Cornyn Shows Signs of Closing the Polling Gap

August 20, 2025 at 8:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Texas Southern University poll finds Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) trails Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by just five points in the Republican Senate primary, 44% to 39%, an indication he may be winnowing down a huge polling gap.

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Inside the Big-Dollar Rescue Mission for John Cornyn

August 12, 2025 at 7:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Senate Republicans are planning to spend tens of millions of dollars over the next few months to rescue Texas GOP Sen. John Cornyn, hoping to reintroduce him to Lone Star State conservatives and save his flagging primary prospects,” Punchbowl News reports.

“The Senate Leadership Fund, the top GOP super PAC focused on Senate races, urged donors last week to open their wallets to help Cornyn beat back a challenge from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, arguing the race could become a costly disaster without immediate intervention.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Inside Ken Paxton’s Long Distance Effort for a Trump Nod

August 5, 2025 at 8:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton recently found himself roughly 4,500 miles from home as he sought one thing that could give him an edge in his bitter primary fight against GOP Sen. John Cornyn: an endorsement from President Donald Trump,” CNN reports.

“On the last Saturday in July, Paxton was in the Scottish village of Turnberry at the president’s luxury golf resort, where the Texas attorney general encountered his occasional golf partner out on the links of Trump Turnberry.”

“Trump and Paxton did not play a round together on the course in western Scotland that overlooks the Irish Sea, and it’s not clear if the president was expecting to see him there. But the two crossed paths and spoke privately for several minutes about the Texas race.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen


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Rick Perry Backs John Cornyn

August 4, 2025 at 10:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) endorsed Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate.

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Ronny Jackson Floats Senate Bid in Texas

July 26, 2025 at 11:21 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Ronny Jackson (R-TX) met with the White House recently about the possibility of jumping into the Texas senate race, Semafor reports.

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Adultery Allegations Jolt Senate Race in Texas

July 21, 2025 at 1:37 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Firebrand Texas Republican Ken Paxton’s long record of political resilience in the face of scandal faces a new test after his wife filed for divorce and accused him of adultery, jolting a contentious primary for U.S. Senate,” the Washington Post reports.

“The race, seen as one of the biggest GOP primaries of the midterms, was already dramatic, with a longtime incumbent, John Cornyn, fighting for his political life against Paxton, the state attorney general styling himself as more loyal to President Donald Trump. Now, Cornyn and his allies are bringing up the filing as they run against Paxton, and some Paxton backers are rethinking their support.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Texas Senate Shifts To Likely Republican

July 17, 2025 at 3:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

With surveys showing Ken Paxton (R) as the Republican frontrunner for U.S. Senate in Texas, the Cook Political Report shifts its rating for the seat from Solid to Likely Republican.

“Were Paxton to win the primary, we would consider shifting our rating further in Democrats’ direction.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Cornyn Appeals to Trump for Endorsement

July 17, 2025 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), who faces a tough GOP primary challenger in Ken Paxton (R), is pleading directly with President Trump for his endorsement, but the president has so far demurred, NBC News reports.

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Cornyn Raised Less Than $1 Million Last Quarter

July 15, 2025 at 7:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) raised just $803,952 for his re-election committee and has $5.9 million on hand.

Meanwhile, GOP primary challenger Ken Paxton (R) brought in $2.9 million and has $2.5 million on hand.

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

The Texas Senate Race Is Turning Into an Absolute Mess

July 14, 2025 at 11:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Texas Senate race is turning into the wildest mess of the midterms — and it’s just getting messier,” NOTUS reports.

“The battle between Republican Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton for the GOP Senate nomination just continues to get bloodier. Cornyn trails in the primary polls, but is broadly seen as the best Republican to defeat the eventual Democratic nominee.”

“Meanwhile, Paxton’s election vulnerabilities were on full display last week when his wife filed for divorce “on biblical grounds,” a seeming reference to the affair rumors that have swirled around the scandal-plagued Paxton for years.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Trump to Stay Out of Texas Primary for Now

July 10, 2025 at 1:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump huddled Wednesday evening in the Oval Office with Senate Majority Leader John Thune and top Senate GOP campaign officials about the 2026 midterm elections,” Punchbowl News reports.

“During the meeting, Trump administration officials made clear to Thune and the Senate Leadership Fund that they were going to let the race between Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton play out a bit before deciding whether and how to engage in the contest. The White House wants to see whether the polling gap between Cornyn and Paxton will close. The primary is scheduled for March.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Ken Paxton’s Wife Files for Divorce

July 10, 2025 at 1:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Texas state Sen. Angela Paxton (R) has filed for divorce from her husband, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), KUT News reports.

“Ken Paxton is running for U.S. Senate against John Cornyn. The attorney general has long been dogged with allegations of infidelity, including during impeachment proceedings in 2023 that ended in his acquittal. He was accused of securing a job for the woman with whom he was having an alleged affair.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Another Poll Shows John Cornyn Getting Trounced

June 26, 2025 at 8:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “It’s getting late early for John Cornyn. Yet another poll shows the four-term incumbent lagging well behind his hard-right challenger, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, in next year’s primary.”

“The poll, conducted on behalf of a Paxton-allied super PAC, shows the Texas attorney general with a commanding 19-point lead over the incumbent — 57% to 38% — in a head-to-head matchup of Texas Republican primary voters.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Former Astronaut Launches Texas Senate Run

June 24, 2025 at 8:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Terry Virts, a retired NASA astronaut, is not a household name, even in his home of Houston. But the way he announced his campaign on Monday for Senator John Cornyn’s seat in Texas, taking a swing at both political parties, may be blazing a trail for Democratic candidates in 2026,” the New York Times reports.

“Mr. Virts’ official announcement video was revealing in two ways. It reflected the growing hunger among Democratic outsiders to take on President Trump. And it underscored how such outsiders believe the best way to do that is to also take on the Democratic leaders in Washington.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Cornyn Trails Paxton by 22 Points

June 3, 2025 at 5:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) trails Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by 22 points, according to a new independent poll of the Senate GOP primary, 50% to 28%.

Punchbowl News: “When asked in a recent TV interview why he was trailing Paxton in early polls, Cornyn attributed it to “primarily name identification.” But only 7% of voters hadn’t heard of Cornyn, per Blizzard’s poll, while 5% had not heard of Paxton.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

John Cornyn Taps Top Trump Aide for Re-Election Bid

May 22, 2025 at 8:27 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sen. John Cornyn has enlisted Chris LaCivita, a top political adviser to President Trump, to help him beat back a primary challenge from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton,” Axios reports.

“LaCivita’s involvement doesn’t guarantee an endorsement from Trump in what is expected to be the GOP’s most expensive Senate primary. But it does show how Cornyn, long regarded as more country club than MAGA, is moving to align himself with the president.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Cornyn’s Primary Problems Begin to Scare Republicans

May 19, 2025 at 10:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“With the GOP’s Texas Senate primary already getting nasty, many Republicans are nervous that Sen. John Cornyn can only beat Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton if President Donald Trump intervenes — and sources said that seems unlikely at the moment,” NOTUS reports.

“Several polls show Cornyn trailing. But the severity of the situation became clear last week when Cornyn touted a poll on X showing him down 16 points, reasoning that Paxton’s lead is ‘shrinking already.'”

Said Cornyn: “He must be getting nervous.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign Tagged With: TX-Sen

Texas Republicans May Give Democrats an Opening

May 8, 2025 at 11:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), who tried to overturn the 2020 presidential election and survived an impeachment trial over corruption charges, is now mounting a serious primary challenge against Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX).

And early polling suggests he’s off to a fast start.

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Filed Under: Members Tagged With: TX-Sen

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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