A new MetroNews West Virginia Poll finds Gov. Jim Justice (R) leading Sen. Joe Manchin (D) in a U.S. Senate race, 51% to 38% with 11% not sure.
Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) told a radio show that he is “thinking seriously” about becoming an independent.
Said Manchin: “I’ve been thinking seriously about that for quite some time.”
Playbook: “Sinema has the bank account of someone seeking a second term — she has $10.7 million to spend, per this month’s FEC reports. But she’s yet to announce a re-elect amid serious doubts about her path to a second term after leaving the Democratic Party last year. The favorite for the Democratic nomination, Rep. Ruben Gallego, outraised Sinema in Q2, and limited public polling of a hypothetical three-way race shows her in dire straits — and potentially paving the way for a GOP win.”
“Manchin, meanwhile, is amid a Hamlet act — pondering whether to launch an uphill re-elect, launch an even more uphill third-party presidential bid or step back from politics entirely. Another Senate run would likely match him up with Republican Gov. Jim Justice, who has sky-high approval ratings, considerable wealth, a checked business record and a long, testy relationship with Manchin. Democrats’ hopes for keeping the seat rest entirely on whether Manchin can be coaxed into one last showdown with his old rival.”
“Joe Manchin isn’t even a Senate candidate and he’s still outraising his potential opponents,” Politico reports.
“The West Virginia senator’s campaign raised nearly $1.3 million in the most recent fundraising quarter, besting Republicans Gov. Jim Justice and Rep. Alex Mooney. Manchin’s Country Roads PAC brought in about $400,000.”
Two groups — Club for Growth Action and Protect Freedom PAC — have raised more than $13 million for Rep. Alex Mooney (R-WV) as he looks to take on Gov. Jim Justice (R) in the West Virginia GOP Senate primary, The Hill reports.
“A federal judge says Gov. Jim Justice has to provide financial information in a long-running lawsuit, finding no merit in Justice’s position that such disclosures could be used against him in his run for U.S. Senate,” West Virginia Metro News reports.
“U.S. District Judge Leonard Stark of Delaware issued an oral order today that Justice has to issue full written responses and produce all responsive documents in a dispute over paying a judgement of nearly $2 million to the Xcoal supply company.”
A new East Carolina University poll finds West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R) trouncing Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) in a U.S. Senate race, 54% to 32%.
“Democrats on Tuesday sued West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice, a Republican Senate candidate, for refusing to release his work schedule as governor in response to public records request seeking to show a continued pattern of absenteeism,” the Washington Post reports.
“Republicans’ best option for unseating Sen. Joe Manchin: Pray that he retires first,” Politico reports.
“The longtime West Virginia Democrat might be the most endangered member of his party heading into 2024. But Republicans still see the contest against him as treacherous. Manchin is a West Virginia institution who has repeatedly defied the odds in a deep-red state.”
The Club for Growth, an influential GOP group, is going on air with a minute-long TV ad slamming West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R) as “a deadbeat billionaire” who is “delinquent on his financial and moral obligations” and an “embarrassment to West Virginia,” Politico reports.
Meanwhile, Politico reports Justice expects Donald Trump to endorse him soon.
“I am laser focused on doing the job West Virginians elected me to do — lowering healthcare costs, protecting Social Security and Medicare, shoring up American energy security and getting our fiscal house in order. But make no mistake, I will win any race I enter.”
— Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV), in a statement.
“West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R) filed the paperwork Thursday for a U.S. Senate campaign, setting up the possibility of a marquee 2024 race against Sen. Joe Manchin (D) in a state that Republicans view as one of their best pickup opportunities,” the Washington Post reports.
Punchbowl News: “Manchin hasn’t officially declared whether he’ll run for reelection in 2024, but lately he’s been acting more and more like a candidate.”
“In public statements and floor votes, Manchin is consistently breaking with his party and President Joe Biden, using language one would expect to hear from a Republican. This week, Manchin even threatened to vote to repeal the Inflation Reduction Act, a law he helped craft. Manchin has been infuriated by the Biden administration’s implementation of the legislation, arguing federal agencies are ignoring clear congressional intent.”
“Gov. Jim Justice (R) is planning to launch a long-awaited campaign against Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) next week, handing Republicans a well-funded and popular recruit in their best opportunity to flip a Senate seat,” Politico reports.
“Justice, a coal mining magnate who is friendly with former President Trump, has hinted at a Senate run for months… He was heavily recruited by the National Republican Senatorial Committee and has been in contact with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.”
“Still, Justice is known to change plans suddenly. While the event is set for Thursday, he could still punt a decision to later.”
“Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is throwing his support behind Rep. Alex Mooney (R-WV) in what’s shaping up to be a high-profile GOP primary race to see which Republican will take on Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) in 2024,” Fox News reports.
“Mooney is the only major Republican candidate in the race so far, but allies of Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell have made it clear they want West Virginia’s Republican governor, Jim Justice, to run as well. Justice was a Democrat until 2017, when he announced himself as a Republican during a rally with former President Donald Trump.”
A new Morning Consult survey finds West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R) has a higher approval rating among Democrats in the state than Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) a troubling sign for Senate Democrats as the governor appears headed toward a campaign for Manchin’s seat.
“The GOP push to knock out Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) is on — 18 months before Election Day,” Politico reports.
“Republican group One Nation, which is aligned with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, is unloading more than $1 million on a campaign hitting Manchin for supporting Democrats’ marquee party-line bill last year… Simultaneously, a strategist close to GOP Gov. Jim Justice said that the governor has made up his mind and will likely launch his Senate campaign before the end of the month.”
“The Club for Growth will back GOP Rep. Alex Mooney’s West Virginia Senate bid, setting up a potential clash with Gov. Jim Justice, who is expected to enter the race at the behest of the National Republican Senatorial Committee,” Politico reports.
“The conservative anti-tax group had vowed earlier to oppose Justice should he enter the Senate race. Their endorsement of Mooney came on the same day that Patrick Morrisey, the state’s attorney general, announced he would run for governor instead of making another run for Senate.”
“The endorsement adds another level of intrigue into one of the Republican Party’s primary Senate pick up opportunities this cycle.”