A new OH Predictive Insights poll in Arizona finds Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ) leading new challenger Mark Kelly (D) by just two points, 46% to 44%.
That edge is well within the poll’s 4 percentage point margin of error.
Mark Kelly to Run for Senate In Arizona
Mark Kelly, former astronaut and husband to former Rep. Gabby Giffords (D-AZ), released a video announcing his campaign to challenge appointed Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ) In 2020.
USA Today: “McSally is considered one of the most vulnerable Republican senators heading into the 2020 election. McSally is a former Air Force pilot and was the first woman to fly combat missions.”
McSally Flagged for Excessive Campaign Donations
Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ), “whose fundraising practices have drawn scrutiny in the past, appears to have accepted more than $270,000 in excessive campaign contributions during the recent midterm campaign,” the AP reports.
Kelly Moves Closer to Senate Bid In Arizona
“Retired astronaut Mark Kelly is taking steps toward a bid against Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ) in 2020, identifying potential staffers and strategists and meeting with Democrats around Arizona — though his allies say no final decision has been made,” The Hill reports.
“Democratic sources said Kelly, the husband of former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D), has been calling and meeting with top Democratic activists in Arizona since late last year.”
Schumer Looks to Recruit Star for Arizona Seat
Senate Democratic Leader Charles Schumer (D-NY) is recruiting Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), a rising Democratic star in the House, to run for the Arizona Senate seat long held by John McCain, The Hill reports.
Arizona Republicans Gamble on McSally
Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey (R) and the GOP are definitely taking a gamble on appointing Rep. Martha McSally (R) to the U.S. Senate, “who will have several challenges to confront as she tries to keep the seat in GOP hands in 2020,” according to First Read:
- Prove herself to Arizona voters after 50 percent voted for someone else;
- Protect herself from a credible primary challenge from the right;
- Navigate being a Republican in the Trump Era;
- And prepare for a top contest from the Democrats in November 2020, when the electorate won’t be fundamentally different from what we saw last November.
“Then again, who was going to be a better candidate for Republicans? McSally, after all, is an outgoing GOP congresswoman; her military service made history; and she’s run in plenty of tough races before.”
McSally Appointed to Senate Seat
Rep. Martha McSally (R-AZ) will replace retiring Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) to fill for the next two years the Senate seat long held by the late Sen. John McCain, the Arizona Republic reports.
Gov. Doug Ducey’s (R) decision to appoint McSally, announced in a statement Tuesday and effective next month, revives her political life less than two months after she narrowly lost the race for the state’s other Senate seat to Kyrsten Sinema (D).
Kyl Will Resign from Senate
Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) will resign from the U.S. Senate on Dec. 31, the Arizona Republic has confirmed, setting up a second appointment by Gov. Doug Ducey (R) to the seat once occupied by the late John McCain.
Ducey is required under law to name another Republican to the seat. A replacement to the Senate seat “will be announced in the near future,” according to the Governor’s Office.
McSally Loses Favor for Senate Appointment
Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey (R) “has lost enthusiasm for appointing fellow Republican Rep. Martha McSally to the Senate in recent weeks even as Republican leaders in Washington have championed her,” the Washington Post reports.
“Ducey has made no firm decision and McSally, who narrowly lost this year’s Senate race, remains a finalist to fill the seat that John McCain held for decades, should it soon open up as expected. But her stock has fallen in the eyes of the governor, according to two people familiar with his thinking, as Ducey approaches one of the most significant decisions of his political career.”
Why McSally Thinks She Lost
Rep. Martha McSally’s (R-AZ) campaign released an interesting memo which concludes that a key reason she lost the U.S. Senate race was due to the “ideological fissures” in the state Republican party.
Republicans Split on Possible Arizona Senate Appointment
“Days after the midterm election, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey spoke privately about a sensitive topic with far-reaching implications — the Senate seat that John McCain held for three decades before his death in August,” the Washington Post reports.
“In a telephone call confirmed by two people familiar with the conversation, McConnell (R-KY) told Ducey: If there is an opening, consider appointing Martha McSally, the Republican congresswoman who came up short in her bid for Arizona’s other Senate seat this year.”
“But some Republicans in Arizona, including those in Ducey’s inner circle, have reservations about appointing McSally. They have questioned her campaign’s strategic decisions and wondered why she was not able to win in a state that President Trump carried in 2016 and where Ducey coasted to reelection this year.”
McConnell Wants McSally Appointed to Replace Kyl
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) “is leveraging his political power to try to convince Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey (R) to choose Rep. Martha McSally (R-AZ) to replace Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ), who is considering leaving his seat before his term ends,” CNN reports.
“McSally, a Republican congresswoman who once worked for Kyl, lost her Senate bid two weeks ago to Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema. Kyl, who was picked by the governor in September to fill the seat vacated by the late Sen. John McCain. told CNN last week he has decided whether to leave office before his term ends at the end of next year. He wouldn’t reveal his decision, but said he will talk to Ducey about it.”
McSally Concedes Arizona Senate Race
Martha McSally (R), who was locked in a too-close-to-call race with Kyrsten Sinema (D), called her opponent and conceded Monday after Sinema’s lead widened, the Arizona Republic reports.
“The concession marked the end of a heated neck-and-neck battle between McSally and Sinema over who would fill the seat Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) decided not to defend.”
Sinema Projected as Winner in Arizona
The Cook Political Report projects that Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) has defeated Rep. Martha McSally (R) in the U.S. Senate race in Arizona.
“This thing has been over for a while.”
Sinema’s Lead Keeps Growing
Kyrsten Sinema (D) again widened her lead again over Martha McSally (R), “a pivotal day in the U.S. Senate race as the number of uncounted ballots dwindled,” the Arizona Republic reports.
“Sinema expanded her lead to 32,640 votes — a 1.5 percentage-point lead. Her campaign manager predicted her victory was inevitable.”
Sinema’s Lead Continues to Grow
Kyrsten Sinema (D) expanded her narrow lead in Arizona’s U.S. Senate on Saturday with gains in Maricopa and Pima counties erasing smaller losses to Martha McSally (R) elsewhere around the state, th Arizona Republic reports.
Sinema’s lead grew to 29,832 votes and gave her a 1.4 percentage point advantage.
While McSally’s vote deficit grew, Republicans took aim at the election process. In a statement Saturday, the National Republican Senatorial Committee attacked Maricopa County Recorder Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, saying he “has been using his position to cook the books for Kyrsten Sinema.”
Sinema Doubles Her Lead In Arizona
Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) more than doubled her lead over Rep. Martha McSally (R) in the heated Arizona Senate race after a new round of ballots were tallied in the Democrat’s favor late Friday, The Hill reports.
Sinema now leads her GOP challenger by 21,185 votes.
Republicans Claim Voter Fraud In Arizona Senate Race
“Republicans in Arizona and nationally are stoking claims of deliberate election fraud in the state’s U.S. Senate race as Martha McSally (R) and Kyrsten Sinema (D) await results of a vote that could swing in either’s favor,” the Arizona Republic reports.
“The tight race has left Republicans in jeopardy of losing a Senate seat in the state for the first time in 30 years.”
“Though McSally held a lead in early vote totals, the tally flipped in Sinema’s favor Thursday night. Updated early results Friday morning kept Sinema with a 9,000-plus advantage, but an estimated 400,000 ballots remained to be counted.”
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