Politico: “The Arizona Republican has given up — for now — the fire-and-brimstone approach she took in her failed gubernatorial bid last year, adopting a different tack in her current Senate campaign: diplomacy.”

“Lake has begun reaching out to Republicans she attacked last year, trying to mend the relationships she shredded. Whether she can repair the damage from 2022 — or if her attempts to do so will anger her loyal base — could determine how she fares in a potentially messy three-way race for Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s seat.”

“Democratic donors have fled Sen. Kyrsten Sinema since she left the party — and she hasn’t made up the loss with Republicans or independents,” Politico reports.

“That dynamic encapsulates the challenge the Arizona independent faces as she weighs whether to seek reelection: Sinema quit a party with which she was often at odds, and now she will have to build a base using only her personal brand.”

“The campaign finance data indicate it will be a daunting task.”

The Messenger: “A poll conducted October 24-25 by Republican pollster Cygnal that was presented to Senate chiefs of staff by an outside group found Arizona Republican Kari Lake at 37% support and Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego at 36%, while Sinema trailed with 15%. Eleven percent said they were undecided.”

“In a two-way race, Gallego, the presumptive Democratic nominee, led Lake 46%-43%.”

An internal NRCC poll in Arizona finds Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) leading the U.S. Senate race with 41%, followed by Kari Lake (R) at 37% and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ) at 17%.

In a head-to-head matchup, Gallego leads Lake 49% to 44%.

“As she weighs a reelection bid, Independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema has garnered support from big-money donors who have given thousands of dollars to Republican committees over the past few election cycles,” The Messenger reports.

“Kari Lake is making nice with the GOP establishment,” Politico reports.

“Sen. John Barrasso (R-WY), the chair of the Senate Republican Conference, endorsed her bid on Monday for Arizona’s Senate seat — the latest sign that the party’s leaders are warming to her candidacy.”

Kari Lake’s (R) Senate campaign kickoff event “bore little resemblance to the fire and brimstone candidacy that marked her gubernatorial bid two years ago,” Politico reports.

“Appearing in an airplane hangar in 94-degree heat, the former TV anchor devoted much of her address to lamenting rising inflation, gas prices and the border crisis. The script suggested a candidate keenly invested in trying to tweak her image. It contained just one passing reference to the election fraud claims that she has harped on so much that they came to politically define her.”

“Donald Trump is expected to endorse Kari Lake for Senate in Arizona as soon as Tuesday evening as she runs in what will be one of the nation’s most consequential Senate races,” the New York Times reports.

“Arizona, along with West Virginia, Montana and Ohio, are seen as among the best opportunities for Republicans to pick up Senate seats next year and win back a majority.”

“The move comes weeks after Mr. Trump told a prospective Republican candidate, Blake Masters, who lost a race for the other Senate seat in the state last year, that he would lose the primary against Ms. Lake if he ran.”

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Arizona finds Rep. Ruben Gallego (D) leading the U.S. Senate race with 41%, followed by Kari Lake (R) at 36% and Kyrsten Sinema (I) at 15% in a three-way match up.

Another 8% of respondents said they were not sure.

Sen. Kirsten Sinema (I-AZ) announced that she ended the 3rd quarter with $10.8 million of cash on hand — without announcing any new money raised.

She finished last quarter with $10.8 million on hand as well.

“Arizona’s high-profile Senate race has not yet begun in earnest, but on Thursday, the Republican Kari Lake and Representative Ruben Gallego, a Democrat, were already trading barbs — in midair,” the New York Times reports.

“Ms. Lake, the former news anchor who refused to concede her loss in the state’s governor’s race last year, and Mr. Gallego, a progressive congressman from the state’s capital, ended up on the same flight from Washington, D.C., to Phoenix, where they began wrangling over the border wall.”

“A powerful abortion-rights group is throwing its support behind Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego in the Arizona Senate race after having backed Democratic-turned-independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema in her last election,” NBC News reports.

“Kari Lake will announce a run for Kyrsten Sinema’s Senate seat next month, setting the stage for what is expected to be one of 2024’s most competitive and unpredictable races,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, the Arizona Democrat-turned-independent, hasn’t publicly announced whether she’s running for re-election next year. But privately, her political team has been mapping out a campaign strategy, pitching donors and potential supporters on how she can win the marquee Senate race,” NBC News reports.

“In a two-page prospectus obtained by NBC News, Sinema charts out a path to victory as an independent candidate in Arizona, with a glimpse of her possible campaign message and new details about the unique cross-party coalition she would seek to build in the competitive state.”

“Under the banner ‘Kyrsten’s Path to Victory,’ the document says Sinema can win by attracting 10% to 20% of Democrats, 60% to 70% of independents and 25% to 35% of Republicans.”

“Kari Lake will launch a Senate run as soon as early next month,” Politico reports.

“Lake, an ardent supporter of former President Donald Trump who refused to concede her narrow loss in Arizona’s governor race last year, has been hinting at a bid for months. She has been active in national politics since her 2022 loss and this week alone she’s headlining events in Iowa and Michigan.”

Daily Beast: “Suddenly sources close to Masters are doubting whether he will go through with a campaign that would entail a brutal cage fight of a primary match against his former ally.”

“Adding to the confusion, some Republican insiders told The Daily Beast they do believe that Masters will ultimately run. But the consensus within Arizona GOP circles was that Masters is a lot further from jumping in than it may have seemed.”