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When Will Kevin McCarthy Be Forced Out?

January 9, 2023 at 11:32 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

At first glance, there seems to be little consensus from Political Wire members about when Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) might be forced out of his job.

The chart slightly peaks around September when the U.S. is expected to hit the federal debt ceiling.

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Filed Under: House of Representatives, Members

The Week Ahead

January 8, 2023 at 6:23 pm EST By Peter Orvetti Leave a Comment

Now comes the hard part.

After going 15 rounds to limp into the speaker’s chair shortly after midnight on Saturday, Kevin McCarthy must now try to lead a House Republican majority that is both narrow and bitterly divided. The House convenes at 5:00 p.m. on Monday for an uncertain vote on the rules package McCarthy hammered out with Freedom Caucus rebels.

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Filed Under: Members

How Long Will Kevin McCarthy Last as Speaker?

January 8, 2023 at 11:29 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) made massive concessions to a group of 20 Republican holdouts in order to finally secure the votes he needed for the gavel in the 15th round of voting. We still don’t know everything he promised.

As a result, he’s likely to be dramatically weaker than his predecessors.

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Filed Under: House of Representatives, Members


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Lucky 14?

January 6, 2023 at 8:09 pm EST By Peter Orvetti Leave a Comment

Kevin McCarthy hopes to be speaker by midnight as the House prepares for a late-night 14th roll call.

Here’s some of what you may have missed on Political Wire today…

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Filed Under: Members

How McCarthy Can Be Elected Speaker Tonight

January 6, 2023 at 3:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The House has voted to adjourn until 10 p.m. while Republicans wait for Reps. Ken Buck (R-CO) and Wesley Hunt (R-TX) to return to the Capitol.

Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) claims that he now has the votes.

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Filed Under: House of Representatives, Members

Senate Majority on the Line, Again

January 6, 2023 at 3:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections.

This issue is the first 2024 Senate Overview of the cycle. It includes an initial preview of all of the Senate races and initial ratings.

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Filed Under: Members

In Other Political News

January 5, 2023 at 8:00 pm EST By Peter Orvetti Leave a Comment

As the first election of 2023 grinds on in the House chamber, key 2024 races are starting to take shape.

Here’s some of what you may have missed on Political Wire today…

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Filed Under: Members

Evaluating Kevin McCarthy’s Options

January 5, 2023 at 4:54 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

After nine rounds of voting, little has changed for Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s (R-CA) ambitions to become Speaker of the House.

He’s still short 17 votes.

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Filed Under: Members

The GOP Chaos Only Highlights Nancy Pelosi’s Skill

January 5, 2023 at 1:04 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

It’s worth noting that Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) governed the House for two years with the exact same majority that Republicans have today.

The contrast is unbelievably striking.

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Filed Under: Members

Groundhog Day

January 4, 2023 at 5:45 pm EST By Peter Orvetti Leave a Comment

No, C-SPAN was not airing a rerun of Tuesday’s House session all day.

Here’s some of what you may have missed on Political Wire today…

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Filed Under: Members

Member Briefing with Maggie Haberman

January 4, 2023 at 11:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

An invite for members: A conversation with Maggie Haberman, reporter for the New York Times and author of Confidence Man: The Making of Donald Trump and the Breaking of America.

The virtual event is on January 25, 2023 at 6 p.m. ET.

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Filed Under: Members

The Republican Civil War Is Here

January 4, 2023 at 9:01 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The inability of House Republicans to elect a speaker isn’t just about Kevin McCarthy.

It’s true he doesn’t really stand for anything. It’s true he’s despised by many conservatives. It’s true many GOP lawmakers don’t trust him.

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Filed Under: House of Representatives, Members

The Chaos Will Continue Tomorrow

January 3, 2023 at 6:20 pm EST By Peter Orvetti Leave a Comment

The clerk will call the roll… and call it again… and call it again.

Here’s some of what you may have missed on Political Wire today…

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Filed Under: Members

Kevin McCarthy Is Already Fighting for the Second Ballot

January 3, 2023 at 11:08 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) admitted in a private meeting with House Republicans that he doesn’t have the votes to be elected speaker on the first ballot.

He then tore into the House Freedom Caucus members who spoke against him.

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Filed Under: House of Representatives, Members

Republicans Will Try to End the Drama Quickly

January 3, 2023 at 9:03 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

If this morning’s reporting is correct, Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) will not have the votes to be elected speaker at 12 p.m. ET today.

That means there will be at least one more round of votes.

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Filed Under: House of Representatives, Members

If Not Kevin McCarthy, Then Who?

January 2, 2023 at 5:54 pm EST By Peter Orvetti Leave a Comment

One McCarthy opponent says rebel Republicans have a name in mind.

Here’s some of what you may have missed on Political Wire today…

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Filed Under: Members

The Week Ahead

January 1, 2023 at 5:34 pm EST By Peter Orvetti Leave a Comment

It’s all about Tuesday.

The 118th Congress opens. Senators like Patrick Leahy and Richard Shelby are gone; new senators include John Fetterman and J.D. Vance. Democrat Maxwell Frost of Florida enters the House at age 25. Incoming House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries becomes the highest-ranking Black congressperson ever.

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Filed Under: Members

The Year Ends as It Began

December 30, 2022 at 6:14 pm EST By Peter Orvetti Leave a Comment

The year ends much as it began, with Donald Trump in the headlines and hoping to defy political gravity once again.

Here’s some of what you may have missed on Political Wire today…

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Filed Under: Members

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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