Political Wire

  • Front Page
  • Members
    • Subscribe
    • Sign In
  • Trending
  • Resources
    • Politics Extra
    • Political Job Hunt
    • Political Dictionary
    • Electoral Vote Map
  • Newsletter
  • Contact Us
Become a member to get many great benefits -- exclusive analysis, trending news, a private podcast, no ads and more!


2022 Election Recap

November 18, 2022 at 2:57 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections.

This issue is the 2022 Election Recap, including what should and should not have been surprising about these midterm elections along with results from the most competitive House, Senate, and gubernatorial races.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: Members

A Few Thoughts for the End of the Week

November 18, 2022 at 9:36 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

I recently checked my spam folder and found more than 2,000 emails sent by a disgruntled reader over the last two years.

The reader claimed over and over that Political Wire‘s coverage was misleading and that a giant “red tsunami” was coming. He promised Republicans would rack up massive majorities and that I was ignoring the “correct” polls. He sent links to fringe websites to back up his claims.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: Members

Kevin McCarthy’s Raucous Caucus

November 17, 2022 at 4:15 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here’s what Rep. Kevin McCarthy (D-CA) is about to find out: A simple majority and a governing majority are not the same thing.

That’s assuming McCarthy can even wrangle the 218 votes he needs to be elected Speaker on January 3 — not a sure thing at this point.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: House of Representatives, Members


You're reading the free version of Political Wire

Upgrade to a paid membership to unlock full access. The process is quick and easy. You can even use Apple Pay.

  • ✔ Become a member to get many great benefits -- exclusive analysis, a trending news page, a private podcast, no advertising and more!
  • ✔ If you're already a member, log in for the full experience.



Democrats Very Much In Array

November 17, 2022 at 1:14 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Despite the lingering narrative of “Democrats in disarray,” it’s really just a myth.

Nancy Pelosi proved this again today when she stepped down as the Democratic leader.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: House of Representatives, Members

Trump’s Authoritarian Campaign

November 16, 2022 at 10:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A low energy Donald Trump launched his 2024 presidential campaign last night.

Most people watching television probably missed it and even traditionally Trump-friendly media downplayed it, but it would be a mistake to ignore it. Trump made crystal clear that if he wins the presidency he intends to rule as an authoritarian.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign, Members

Some Final Thoughts on the Midterm Results

November 14, 2022 at 5:35 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

There are still some uncalled races in this year’s midterm elections, but the broad outlines of what happened are pretty clear.

Here are a few observations:

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members

Gerrymandering Likely Cost Democrats the House

November 14, 2022 at 11:08 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

It may take several more days to count the votes, but it appears that Republicans are on track to win 221 seats, just three more than needed for the majority in the House of Representatives.

As President Biden told reporters: “I think we’re going to get very close in the House. I think it’s going to be very close, but I don’t think we’re going to make it.”

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members, Redistricting

Trump’s States Went Red, Biden’s Went Blue

November 14, 2022 at 10:46 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

In an era of consecutive change elections, Bruce Mehlman notes the 2022 midterms were the “least-change-y change-election” since 2002.

Voters sought stability and many first-time Republicans challengers scared them more than the status quo.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members

Anger Over Abortion Rights Held Off the Red Wave

November 10, 2022 at 2:56 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

For months, polls suggested that abortion would take a back seat to concerns about inflation and the economy as the top issue for voters.

That proved to be very wrong.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Abortion, Members

Election Week Continues

November 10, 2022 at 11:51 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

It will take days — or even weeks — to learn which party will be in control of the House and Senate next year.

In the Senate, we’re waiting on Nevada and Arizona. Alaska will be longer due to ranked-choice voting. Georgia is going to a December 6 runoff.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members

Democrats May Get the Second Best Midterm Scenario

November 9, 2022 at 8:02 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The red wave that Republicans promised would repudiate Joe Biden’s presidency never materialized.

Republicans may still win control of the House and be able to block Biden’s legislative agenda and launch a flurry of investigations into his administration.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: Members

Don’t Be Surprised If Trump Turns on Kevin McCarthy

November 9, 2022 at 7:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

As I wrote last night, it’s very likely Republicans will control the House after the final races are called in the coming days. But the GOP’s margin will be very small, perhaps not much bigger than Democrats had for the last two years.

While it was tough to govern, Speaker Nancy Pelosi made it work. But Kevin McCarthy is no Nancy Pelosi.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, House of Representatives, Members

More Like a Rip Tide Than a Red Wave

November 8, 2022 at 11:15 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

With the big caveat that there are still many uncalled races, we’ve seen very few signs of a red wave in tonight’s election results. It’s not even a red ripple.

This election is more like a rip tide or rip current.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members

A Few Thoughts Before the Results Come In

November 8, 2022 at 2:29 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

One of the great secrets of political journalism is that not much actually happens on the Election Day. The real action is tonight when the first polls close at 6 p.m. ET.

But while we wait, here are some things to note:

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members

Hour-by-Hour Poll Closing Times

November 8, 2022 at 8:43 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Here is an hour-by-hour guide to watching the midterm election returns tonight.

As I noted earlier, some races in the the earlier states which may be good indicators for what to expect nationally.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members

Every Election Seems Like the Same Election

November 7, 2022 at 3:26 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Twenty years ago, the best variable for predicting whether someone would vote Republican was if they attended church regularly.

Today, it’s whether they went to college or not. If they didn’t, they’re much more likely to vote Republican.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: Members, Trends

The Early Indicators on Election Night

November 5, 2022 at 8:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

We may not know which party controls the House or Senate for several days or even weeks after Election Night, but there are some key races which are good early indicators.

For the Senate, polls close in New Hampshire at 7 p.m. ET where Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) finds herself in a very tight race. If Hassan loses to Don Bolduc (R) — who most analysts considered a very weak candidate — that’s a pretty good sign a red wave is coming. If Hassan wins by a solid margin, that will lead many to question the projections that show so many races this year a coin flip.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: 2022 Campaign, Members

Final 2022 Midterm Forecast

November 3, 2022 at 3:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections.

This final pre-election issue includes updated analysis on every competitive Senate and House race around the country, fresh polling in key Senate races, and rating changes in 22 House races.

Join now to continue reading.

Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Filed Under: Members

  • « Previous Page
  • 1
  • …
  • 77
  • 78
  • 79
  • 80
  • 81
  • …
  • 210
  • Next Page »

Get Smarter About Politics

Members get exclusive analysis, a trending news page, the Trial Balloon podcast, bonus newsletters and no advertising. Learn more.

Your Account

Sign in

Latest for Members

  • Trump Only Gets Weaker From Here
  • Trump Reopens Epstein Probe to Avoid Releasing the Files
  • Trump Doesn’t Need a Vote to Release the Epstein Files
  • This Was Supposed to Be ‘Affordability Week’
  • Weekly News Quiz

Word of the Day

Opiate of the People: Karl Marx famously declared that religion is the opiate of the people.

Read the full definition

About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

Praise for Political Wire

“There are a lot of blogs and news sites claiming to understand politics, but only a few actually do. Political Wire is one of them.”

— Chuck Todd, host of “Meet the Press”

“Concise. Relevant. To the point. Political Wire is the first site I check when I’m looking for the latest political nugget. That pretty much says it all.”

— Stuart Rothenberg, editor of the Rothenberg Political Report

“Political Wire is one of only four or five sites that I check every day and sometimes several times a day, for the latest political news and developments.”

— Charlie Cook, editor of the Cook Political Report

“The big news, delicious tidbits, pearls of wisdom — nicely packaged, constantly updated… What political junkie could ask for more?”

— Larry Sabato, Center for Politics, University of Virginia

“Political Wire is a great, great site.”

— Joe Scarborough, host of MSNBC’s “Morning Joe”

“Taegan Goddard has a knack for digging out political gems that too often get passed over by the mainstream press, and for delivering the latest electoral developments in a sharp, no frills style that makes his Political Wire an addictive blog habit you don’t want to kick.”

— Arianna Huffington, founder of The Huffington Post

“Political Wire is one of the absolute must-read sites in the blogosphere.”

— Glenn Reynolds, founder of Instapundit

“I rely on Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire for straight, fair political news, he gets right to the point. It’s an eagerly anticipated part of my news reading.”

— Craig Newmark, founder of Craigslist.

Copyright © 2025 · Goddard Media LLC | Privacy Policy | Corrections Policy

Political Wire ® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC