Why So Many Predictions Fail

Just published and highly reccommended: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don’t by Nate Silver.

Silver talks to AdWeek: “I kind of realized after writing this book that I don’t particularly like politics that much. I definitely like elections, as they’re fun to forecast and to watch evolve, but I don’t particularly like the day to day of politics or some of the people who end up getting involved.”