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Archives for September 2014

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Hagan Still Up in North Carolina

September 30, 2014 at 3:58 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Civitas poll in North Carolina finds Sen. Kay Hagan (D) leading challenger Thom Tillis (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 46% to 41%, when leaners are allocated to each candidate.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

September 30, 2014 at 1:53 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“My mistake was that I was speaking in a way that reflected back to the man. If I had been able to see the camera, I would have remembered that I was talking to the whole world, not just the man.”

— Mitt Romney, quoted by the New York Times, recognizing the potential of hidden cameras to wreck a presidential campaign.

Filed Under: 2012 Campaign

Pataki Again Flirts With White House Bid

September 30, 2014 at 1:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former New York Gov. George Pataki (R) “is reportedly considering running for president in 2016, though a former aide says talk of a campaign is premature,” the AP reports.

The New York Post says Pataki “is privately gearing up for a 2016 presidential run, according to sources, and was spotted meeting GOP kingmaker David Koch last week.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign


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Do We Elect a Governor Who May End Up in Jail?

September 30, 2014 at 1:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York gubernatorial candidate Rob Astorino (R) has one of the strangest and most desperate ads of the year.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Shaheen Leads by Double-Digits in New Hampshire

September 30, 2014 at 1:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new American Research Group poll in New Hampshire finds Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) leads challenger Scott Brown (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 53% to 43%.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Ernst Ahead in Iowa

September 30, 2014 at 1:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Iowa finds Joni Ernst (R) slightly ahead of Bruce Braley (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 44% to 42%.

Key finding: “Even though the horse race numbers haven’t changed much, this is the first time we’ve found Ernst with a better net favorability rating than Braley.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Burke Leads Walker in Wisconsin

September 30, 2014 at 12:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Gravis Marketing survey in Wisconsin finds Mary Burke (D) leading Gov. Scott Walker (R) in the race for governor by five points, 50% to 45%.

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Kassebaum Baker Refused to Cut Ad for Roberts

September 30, 2014 at 11:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Sen. Pat Roberts (R-KS) asked former Sen. Nancy Kassebaum Baker (R-KS), his “colleague and friend of more than 30 years,” to tape a TV commercial for him but she refused, the Kansas City Star reports.

Said Kassebaum Baker: “There’s just disappointment around the state. They feel they don’t know him now.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Cassidy Holds Small Lead in Louisiana

September 30, 2014 at 11:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds Bill Cassidy (R) with a slight lead over Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) in a possible December runoff election, 48% to 45%.

Key finding: “Neither candidate is very popular with voters. 37% of voters have a favorable opinion of Cassidy to 41% with an unfavorable opinion, numbers that while poor are actually slightly improved from a -8 net favorability rating on the previous poll at 28/36. Landrieu’s approval numbers are worse though- 42% give her good marks to 52% who disapprove.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Citizens of the Green Room

September 30, 2014 at 10:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Coming this fall: Citizens of the Green Room: Profiles in Courage and Self-Delusion by Mark Leibovich.

Filed Under: Political Books

Where is Terri Lynn Land?

September 30, 2014 at 9:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NPR reports that Michigan U.S. Senate candidate Terri Lynn Land’s (R) “last public appearance was at a Republican dinner in Macomb County last Tuesday. Since then, nothing.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Assessing Obamacare

September 30, 2014 at 8:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wonk Wire: Obamacare’s First Anniversary Report Card

Filed Under: Health Care

Incumbent Governors Fear Wipeout

September 30, 2014 at 8:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As many as a dozen incumbent governors are fighting for their political lives five weeks out from Election Day — a list that includes the chief executives of states as red as Kansas and as blue as Connecticut as well as several top presidential battlegrounds,” Politico reports.

“The unsettled gubernatorial landscape has drawn a fraction of the attention of the seesawing battle for the Senate. Yet the state of play is dramatic in its own right: The fate of big-name Republicans such as Wisconsin’s Scott Walker, Florida’s Rick Scott and Michigan’s Rick Snyder are all on the line, and Democrats such as Colorado’s John Hickenlooper and Illinois’ Pat Quinn are locked in tough reelection races that could go either way.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Ugly Fight Awaits Obama’s Attorney General Nominee

September 30, 2014 at 8:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Byron York: “President Obama has a pretty obvious deadline for nominating a successor to departing Attorney General Eric Holder. If Democrats lose control of the Senate in November, they’ll still run things until newly-elected members arrive in January. So just to be safe, if the president wants guaranteed confirmation of a new attorney general, he’ll need to pick one soon. That way, even if Republicans win the Senate, and even if Obama’s choice is unpopular with the GOP, lame-duck Democrats will still be able to steamroll the opposition and confirm a new Attorney General.”

“But it could be very, very ugly.”

Filed Under: White House

Assessing the Battle for the Senate

September 30, 2014 at 8:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Reid Wilson: “Here’s the rough consensus on Democratic seats (the higher the rank, the more likely a seat is to change control): Montana will flip by the widest margin. West Virginia. South Dakota. Louisiana. Arkansas. Alaska. Iowa. Colorado. Michigan. North Carolina. Minnesota. Oregon (Some Democrats say North Carolina should come before Iowa and Colorado). The consensus among Republican seats: Kansas is the most likely to change control. Then Georgia. Then Kentucky.”

“The shorthand takeaway: Alaska is the Republicans’ 51st seat. If Kansas flips, it’s all about Iowa.”

Charlie Cook: “My hunch is that this is not a year when Democrats are likely to get a disproportionate share of the breaks. I’m sticking with the 60 percent chance of a Senate turnover that I’ve held for several months.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Democrats Spend Big on Ground Game

September 30, 2014 at 8:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“With a strong possibility that Democrats could lose control of the Senate in the midterm elections, they are investing heavily in voter turnout efforts,” the New York Times reports.

“In states too close to call like Alaska, Colorado, Iowa and North Carolina, Democrats are making much greater investments in the ground game than Republicans.”

Filed Under: 2014 Campaign

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 30, 2014 at 8:03 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I was talking to one of my political advisers and I said: ‘If I had to do this again, I’d insist that you literally had a camera on me at all times. I want to be reminded that this is not off the cuff.”

— Mitt Romney, quoted by the New York Times, on running for president.

Filed Under: 2012 Campaign

Is Huckabee Gearing Up for Presidential Bid?

September 30, 2014 at 7:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Longtime GOP consultant Ed Rollins told the Washington Post that former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee could be a formidable presidential candidate.

Said Rollins: “Mike has always thought 2016 would be his cycle. I think he’s getting ready to go. Every sign out there is that he’s thinking hard about it.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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