FiveThirtyEight asks pollsters for their thoughts on the midterm elections and the accuracy of polling.
“In their responses, most pollsters predict Republicans will win the Senate by a narrow margin. Many say fewer people are responding to polls this year, compared to 2012, and more expect greater polling error — that is, the difference between what the latest pre-election polls show and actual vote margins — in the upcoming election, than expect less error. And yet, the results also show how little the pollsters agree on.”
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