Nate Silver Blames Polls for Poor Forecast

Nate Silver “fared terribly in Thursday’s UK election: In his pre-election forecast, he gave 278 seats to Conservatives and 267 to Labour. Shortly after midnight, he was forecasting 272 seats for Conservatives and 271 for Labour. But when the sun rose in London on Friday, Conservatives had an expected 329 seats, against Labour’s 233,” Politico reports.

Nate Silver: “But if the polls have a poor election, it won’t be the first time. In fact, it’s become harder to find an election in which the polls did all that well… Perhaps it’s just been a run of bad luck. But there are lots of reasons to worry about the state of the polling industry.”