A new FiveThirtyEight forecast finds Ted Cruz has a 51% chance of winning Iowa when national and state polls as well as endorsements are taken into account. Donald Trump has a 29% chance of winning.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton is believed to have an all-but-certain victory over Bernie Sanders.


?Political Trivia
Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
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Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
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Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
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Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
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Four questions a day.
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A new game every day.