Archives for March 2016
Trump Leads In North Carolina
A new Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 44%, followed by Ted Cruz at 33%, John Kasich at 11% and Marco Rubio at 7%.
Trump Has the Lead In Missouri
A new Docking Institute poll in Missouri finds Donald Trump leads the GOP presidential race with 36%, followed by Ted Cruz at 29%, Marco Rubio at 9% and John Kasich at 8%.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders, 47% to 40%.
The Hunt for Double-Agent Delegates
Bloomberg: “In many states, primaries and caucuses are just the most public face-off in a multi-step process to select the individual delegates who will choose the party’s nominee. Only a small share of the 2,472 total convention delegates are free to pick the candidate of their choice, regardless of the election’s outcome, on the first ballot, while about three-quarters of them are gradually freed to do so on subsequent votes.”
“That means there is a small pool of so-called unbound delegates who are pure free agents, but a much larger number who can be recruited throughout the spring as double agents—delegates who arrive in Cleveland pledged to Trump, all the while working in cahoots with one of his opponents and confessing their true allegiances once it is safe to do so.”
Said Iowa operative Grant Young: “Of any of the campaigns the Ted Cruz people are the best-positioned.”
Trump Holds Commanding Lead In Florida
A new Quinnipiac poll in Florida finds Donald Trump leading the GOP primary race with 46%, followed by Marco Rubio at 22%, Ted Cruz at 14% and John Kasich at 10%.
In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 60% to 34%.
A new Monmouth poll in Florida finds Trump leading with 44%, followed by Rubio at 27%, Cruz at 17% and Kasich at 9%.
Inside Kasich’s Long Shot Strategy at Blocking Trump
Strategists for Gov. John Kasich “are studying arcane party rules that they believe could offer a path to the Republican nomination if he wins his home state,” Reuters reports.
“It is a long-shot strategy, both for Kasich and the anti-Trump forces inside the party. But if fellow GOP candidate Marco Rubio loses his own state of Florida on Tuesday – as polls predict – a surge by Kasich may be the only viable strategy for Republicans looking to stop Trump from getting the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch the nomination.”
“Kasich supporters are betting that an Ohio win will give his candidacy its first real momentum, attracting donors and endorsements. From there, he could score more victories in upcoming primaries in Pennsylvania, Maryland, Wisconsin, Connecticut and California, states where Kasich polls favorably.”
Trump and Kasich Deadlocked In Ohio
A new Quinnipiac poll in Ohio finds Donald Trump and John Kasich tied in the GOP presidential race at 38%, followed by Ted Cruz at 16% and Marco Rubio at 3%.
In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton edges Bernie Sanders 51% to 46%.
A new Monmouth poll finds Kasich leading with 40%, followed by Trump at 35%, Cruz at 15% and Rubio at 5%.
A Week of Trump’s Lies and Exaggerations
“With the GOP front-runner scooping up delegates in a march toward the Republican nomination, Politico subjected a week’s worth of his words to our magazine’s fact-checking process… The result: more than five dozen statements deemed mischaracterizations, exaggerations, or simply false – the kind of stuff that would have been stripped from one of our stories, or made the whole thing worthy of the spike. It equates to roughly one misstatement every five minutes on average.”
“From warning of the death of Christianity in America to claiming that he is taking no money from donors, the Manhattan billionaire and reality-show celebrity said something far from truthful many times over to the thousands of people packed into his raucous rallies. His remarks represent an extraordinary mix of inaccurate claims about domestic and foreign policy and personal and professional boasts that rarely measure up when checked against primary sources.”
Perez Emerges as Sleeper Veep for Clinton
“Aside from the wonkiest of Washington circles and the most progressive corners of the left, no one’s heard of Tom Perez. He isn’t young or handsome. He has zero foreign policy experience. The highest office he’s ever been elected to is a suburban county council.” Politico reports.
“Yet the Labor secretary has emerged as a vice presidential sleeper pick, with chatter building among top Democrats—including Elizabeth Warren.”
“The idea of Perez making the leap to vice president is, on the face of it, inconceivable: Aside from his limited experience in elected office, it’s not like Clinton would need him to win Maryland… Except Perez has more credibility with committed progressives – who measure politicians in battle scars – than almost anyone else around.”
Trump Dumps Illinois Director
“Donald Trump’s Illinois campaign director has been sidelined after the national campaign grew furious over what sources described as a lack of organization in the state in the run-up to Tuesday’s primary,” Politico reports.
Kent Gray was pushed aside “early last week after the Trump camp learned he made few inroads with get-out-the-vote efforts and organizing volunteers.”
Ohio’s Recovery Not Quite as Kasich Describes
New York Times: “Ohio has indeed gained several hundred thousand jobs since Mr. Kasich took office, and he turned an imposing budget gap into a surplus while also cutting income taxes, all accomplishments that back up his boasts.”
“But a closer review of his record shows the reality is more complicated. Other states recovered from the recession more quickly than Ohio did. He closed the budget shortfall in part by cutting aid to local governments, forcing some of them to raise their own taxes or cut services. And increasing sales taxes helped make the income tax cuts possible.”
Romney Will Campaign with Kasich
“Mitt Romney will campaign with John Kasich Monday at two stops in Ohio,” NBC News reports.
“Romney is not expected to endorse the Ohio governor during the campaign swing, the source said, but it will be the first time Romney has campaigned on behalf of a Republican candidate this cycle.”
For members: The Best Way to Lose a Republican Primary
What If Trump Loses Ohio?
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Trump Makes Big Push in Ohio
Donald Trump has postponed his Monday night rally scheduled in Florida and will instead hold an event in Ohio, The Hill reports.
Most polls show Trump way ahead in Florida but locked in a tight race with Gov. John Kasich in Ohio ahead the March 15 primary.
For members: What If Trump Loses Ohio?
D’Amato Warns of Revolution in the GOP
Former Sen. Al D’Amato (R-NY) said that if Republicans stop Donald Trump from securing the nomination by changing the rules would cause a “revolution” in the party, The Hill reports.
Said D’Amato: “You’ve got people like that trying to stop Trump, and I think they should be ashamed of themselves. If they want to be for a candidate, be for a candidate, come out for the candidate, campaign for the candidate. But don’t just go on with this business, ‘We want a stalemated convention so that the powerbrokers – whoever’s left of them – can decide.'”
Ex-Rivals Refuse to Endorse Remaining Candidates
Ballot Access News: “Five of the recognized Republican presidential candidates who had been running for president, but who have dropped out, still have not endorsed any other Republican for the nomination. They are Jeb Bush, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, and Rand Paul.”
The GOP Primary Is Quickly Becoming the Hunger Games
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Trump Way Ahead in Florida
A new NBC News/Marist poll in Florida finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential race with 43%, followed by Marco Rubio at 22%, Ted Cruz at 21% and John Kasich at 9%.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders, 61% to 34%.
A new CBS News/YouGov survey finds Trump leading with 44%, followed by Cruz at 24%, Rubio at 21% and Kasich at 9%.
On the Democratic side, Clinton leads Sanders, 62% to 34%.
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