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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 193

The Magnificent Seven

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 193: The Magnificent Seven

North Carolina Results Will Be Delayed

November 3, 2020 · 4:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

North Carolina statewide results from early voting and mail-in voting will be delayed tonight by at least 45 minutes, until 8:15 p.m., the Raleigh News & Observer reports.

“The N.C. State Board of Elections voted to extend the deadline to vote at one precinct in Sampson County by 45 minutes, due to some technical glitches they had there this morning. They also extended voting deadlines at three other precincts by shorter amounts of time.”

“The vote was 3-2 with the board’s Democratic members in favor and the Republicans opposed.”

2020 Campaign North Carolina

Indecent Assembly

April 9, 2020 · 11:00 am ET · Leave a Comment

An important book: Indecent Assembly: The North Carolina Legislature’s Blueprint for the War on Democracy and Equality by Gene Nichol.

“North Carolina has, since 2013, undergone a greater political sea change than any other state. For the first time, seven years ago, state government became completely captured by a radicalized and aggressive Republican leadership determined to produce the most ultra-conservative political regime in the nation.”

Indecent Assembly
The North Carolina Legislature's Blueprint for the War on Democracy and Equality
by Gene R. Nichol · Blair · 2020
Buy on Amazon
Paperback·Kindle

Political Books North Carolina

Trump Trails Leading Democrats In North Carolina

October 9, 2019 · 11:08 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina finds President Trump’s approval rate underwater at 46% to 51%.

In general election match ups, Joe Biden leads Trump 51% to 46%, Elizabeth Warren beats him 49% to 46% and Bernie Sanders is up 50% to 47%. It’s notable that regardless of the Democrat he’s tested against, Trump always polls at 46-47%.

2020 Campaign North Carolina

Bonus Quote of the Day

September 12, 2019 · 1:17 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“I think it is the last gasp of a dying majority here. And every single one of those House members and state senators are going to be up for election next year along with me running for re-election for governor. And there will be a judgment day in North Carolina.”

— North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper (D), quoted by the Raleigh News & Observer, on Republicans calling a surprise budget veto override vote with few Democrats present.

State House North Carolina

North Carolina Elections Chief Resigns After Joke

July 31, 2019 · 9:52 am ET · Leave a Comment

North Carolina State Board of Elections Chairman Robert Cordle resigned from the board Tuesday after he opened a statewide conference for hundreds of election officials Monday with a joke about cows and sex, WRAL reports.

The joke was republished by Wataugha Watch — and yes, it was completely inappropriate.

State House North Carolina

North Carolina Justice Slams His Colleagues

July 17, 2019 · 4:06 pm ET · Leave a Comment

In a campaign speech, Justice Paul Newby (R) compared his six Democratic colleagues to freshman Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, “who has become something of a boogeyman for Republicans looking to highlight the national Democratic Party’s leftward shift,” WRAL reports.

Said Newby: “Imagine seven ‘AOCs’ on the state Supreme Court Well, folks, we got six. It’s six to one.”

He then took issue with those who complain about the United States: “If we’re as bad as the other side says we are, I will buy you a ticket to leave. I mean, just leave… We don’t build walls to keep you in. We’ve got to have a wall to keep you out if you’re trying to get here illegally.”

State House North Carolina

North Carolina Is Closely Divided on Trump

June 20, 2019 · 12:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina finds President Trump with an upside down approval rating, 46% to 49%.

In hypothetical match ups with the five leading Democratic candidates for President, Trump ranges from trailing by 3 points to leading by 3 points. Trump gets 46 or 47% regardless of the Democrat he’s tested against, while the level of support for the Democrats fluctuates based on their name recognition.

The two Democrats with leads over Trump are the best known: Joe Biden is up 49% to 46% on him and Bernie Sanders is up 48% to 47%. Trump narrowly leads the lesser known Democrats: it’s a 47% to 46% edge over Kamala Harris, a 48% to 46% one over Elizabeth Warren, and a 47% to 44% one over Pete Buttigieg.

2020 Campaign North Carolina

Keep an Eye on North Carolina

June 7, 2019 · 10:02 am ET · Leave a Comment

First Read: “All of the early looks at the 2020 electoral map have ignored a battleground state that was all the rage back in ’16: North Carolina. And you can argue it has the potential to be a fascinating state to watch over the next year and half.”

“You have the competitive NC-9 election this September.”

“It’s a presidential battleground whose electoral votes (15) are greater than Wisconsin’s and New Hampshire’s combined (14). (Yes, Hillary Clinton ultimately lost the state to Trump by 3 points in 2016, but she also led in the pre-Comey polls there.)”

“Its 2020 Senate race, with Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) up for re-election, could determine if Dems can win back the chamber – if they land a solid recruit there. Its gubernatorial race, with Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper up for re-election, could be the most competitive 2020 governor’s race of the cycle.”

“And oh, Republicans are having their presidential convention in Charlotte.”

2020 Campaign North Carolina

Judge Says 20-Week Abortion Ban is Unconstitutional

March 27, 2019 · 8:25 am ET · Leave a Comment

CBS News: “A federal judge has declared a North Carolina law banning women from having abortions after the 20th week of pregnancy except in an urgent medical emergency is unconstitutional. The decision Monday by U.S. District Judge William Osteen in Greensboro gave state legislators 60 days before his ruling takes effect to allow them to amend abortion restrictions or appeal his ruling to a higher court.”

“The U.S. Supreme Court has protected abortion as a constitutional right until a fetus has developed enough to live outside the mother’s womb. The judge noted that North Carolina’s own medical expert conceded that’s almost never possible until the 22nd week of gestation.”

Judiciary North Carolina

North Carolina Officials Warned of Election Fraud

December 21, 2018 · 2:14 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“North Carolina state election officials told federal prosecutors in January 2017 that they found evidence of efforts to manipulate the absentee ballot vote in rural Bladen County in the 2016 election and warned that such activities ‘will likely continue for future elections’ if not addressed,” the Washington Post reports.

“Similar charges have roiled this year’s race in the 9th Congressional District between Republican Mark Harris and Democrat Dan McCready. Harris defeated McCready by just 905 votes, but the state board declined to certify the results amid allegations that fraud may have tainted the outcome.”

Election Administration North Carolina

North Carolina Districts Challenged Again In Court

November 13, 2018 · 3:08 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Yet another redistricting lawsuit has been filed in North Carolina, this one challenging General Assembly boundaries that Democrats and election reform advocates say are illegally tainted by excessive favoritism toward Republicans,” the Greensboro News & Record reports.

“Common Cause North Carolina, the state Democratic Party and Democratic and unaffiliated voters sued GOP mapmakers Tuesday in Wake County court. They allege the lines are illegal partisan gerrymanders that make it virtually impossible for Democrats to win majorities in the House or Senate.”

Redistricting North Carolina

New Districts in North Carolina Could Help Democrats

August 28, 2018 · 11:55 am ET · Leave a Comment

A ruling by a panel of federal judges raised the potential of drawing new congressional districts in North Carolina before November’s election, the Charlotte Observer reports.

“Among the court’s proposed remedies this time: Redrawing the districts before November and holding a general election without a primary election, or redrawing the districts, holding a primary election in November and holding a general election sometime before Congress is seated in January 2019. The court also said it might allow the General Assembly another chance at redrawing the districts.”

Nate Silver: “If North Carolina were required to redistrict, would be worth another two seats or so for Democrats. Although with a high margin for error because of all of this happening at such a late date.”

Redistricting North Carolina

Court Finds North Carolina Districts Unconstitutional

August 27, 2018 · 6:01 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Rick Hasen: “In a case with potentially national implications both short term and long, a three judge district court in North Carolina has held that the congressional redistricting plan—put in place after North Carolina’s districts last time were found to be a racial gerrymander—are an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander. The remedy is not set yet, but the court may have a remedy in place for the 2018 elections, something I find surprising.”

“If this opinion stands (and given the current 4-4 split on the Supreme Court, any emergency action could well fail, leaving the lower court opinion in place), the court may well order new districts be drawn in time for the 2018 elections.”

Redistricting North Carolina

Democrats Field Candidates In Every North Carolina Race

March 1, 2018 · 10:48 am ET · Leave a Comment

“For the first time in anyone’s memory, nearly all 170 state legislative races in North Carolina will feature both a Republican and Democratic candidate,” the Raleigh News and Observer reports.

“Candidate filing ended at noon Wednesday, leaving just one uncontested race for state House or state Senate after a heavy recruiting push from both the NC Democratic Party and the NC Republican Party.”

State House North Carolina

Supreme Court Deals Blow to Voter ID Law

May 15, 2017 · 10:00 am ET · Leave a Comment

The U.S. Supreme Court declined to hear North Carolina’s appeal of a court ruling that found its legislature intended to discriminate against minorities in enacting one of the toughest voter ID laws in the nation, NBC News reports.

Rick Hasen: “These days at the Supreme Court, getting the Court not to hear a voting case is a significant victory. While the Court could well issue an adverse decision in the future, the 4th Circuit opinion stays on the books for now, and it has already been relied upon to hold other strict voting laws illegal.”

Election Administration North Carolina

North Carolina Strikes Deal to Repeal Bathroom Law

March 30, 2017 · 6:32 am ET · Leave a Comment

“North Carolina’s Republican-controlled legislature and its Democratic governor announced late Wednesday that they had reached an agreement to repeal the controversial state law that curbs legal protections for lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender people and sets rules that affect transgender bathroom use in public buildings,” the New York Times reports.

“But gay rights advocates raised objections, arguing that the compromise would continue to allow discrimination. And it was unclear late Wednesday whether the deal, if approved, would end the boycotts by sports leagues, businesses and others that have harmed the state’s reputation and economy.”

Washington Post: “This week, lawmakers are facing a clear deadline imposed by the NCAA, which gave North Carolina until Thursday to change the law if it wants to host any college sports championships through 2022.”

State House North Carolina

‘Bathroom Bill’ Will Cost North Carolina Nearly $4 Billion

March 27, 2017 · 8:32 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Despite Republican assurances that North Carolina’s ‘bathroom bill’ isn’t hurting the economy, the law limiting LGBT protections will cost the state more than $3.76 billion in lost business over a dozen years,” according to an Associated Press analysis.

“Over the past year, North Carolina has suffered financial hits ranging from scuttled plans for a PayPal facility that would have added an estimated $2.66 billion to the state’s economy to a canceled Ringo Starr concert that deprived a town’s amphitheater of about $33,000 in revenue. The blows have landed in the state’s biggest cities as well as towns surrounding its flagship university, and from the mountains to the coast.”

State House North Carolina

McCrory Makes Last Attempt to Stick It To His Successor

December 30, 2016 · 8:53 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“With just one day to go before he leaves office, North Carolina Gov. Pat McCrory (R) threw a legal Hail Mary to the U.S. Supreme Court in another apparent effort to undermine his Democratic successor’s ability to govern,” the Washington Post reports.

“McCrory filed an emergency request to the Supreme Court, asking the justices to pause court-ordered special elections for more than two dozen state legislative districts in 2017 — special elections in which Democrats could have an opportunity to pick up seats in North Carolina’s GOP-dominated legislature.”

Rick Hasen: “My guess is that the Court does not issue the stay.”

Meanwhile, the Raleigh News & Observer reports McCrory hung his official portrait in the governor’s office for Gov.-elect Roy Cooper (D) to see upon taking office on New Year’s Day.

2016 Campaign, State House North Carolina

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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