House Battleground Breakdown: Diving Into Demographics

The following post is from Leah Askarinam, reporter and analyst at Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales. It was made available to Political Wire members by special permission.

We’ve learned from 2016 that demographics aren’t exactly destiny. But while the relationship between demography and voting behavior doesn’t amount to a perfect science, it can be useful to compare localities from across the country based on demography rather than purely on geography. For example, it can be more useful to compare a city like Atlanta to Dallas or Tulsa, Oklahoma rather than to a rural district within the state of Georgia.