New Forecast Shows a Toss Up for Senate Control

The following post for members is by G. Elliott Morris of The Crosstab.

Election analysts have been in a frenzy over the state of the 2018 U.S. House midterms recently. With special elections to congressional districts shifting up to 20 points toward Democrats, this is no surprise. But the same indicators of a large Democratic wave in the House also show a blue-ish picture in the Senate. Using national indicators and current polling averages/election ratings, the state of the Senate race is a ever-so-slightly-red tossup.