Poll Shows Stable Opinions Over Last Three Months

A new GW Politics poll, which is unusual because it tracks the views of the same group of registered voters over time, finds few fluctuations in opinions since the first poll in May.

“The stability of people’s preferences between the two interviews was striking: 92% of those who said in May that they planned to vote for the Republican candidate said the same thing in July. Similarly, 95% of those saying they would vote for the Democrat in May were planning to vote for the Democrat in July. Altogether, over three-quarters of all respondents (78%) were ‘consistent partisans’ in these two interviews.”

Overall, President Trump’s approval rating is 45% and Democrats lead the generic ballot, 44% to 39%.