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Indicted California Lawmaker Holds Solid Leads

September 27, 2018 · 1:30 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in California’s 50th congressional district finds indicted Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-CA) leading challenger Ammar Campa-Najjar, 49% to 41% among all potential voters.

“Hunter’s lead increases when applying two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model gives the incumbent a sizable 53% to 38% advantage over Campa-Najjar. A model that projects a possible turnout surge in the more competitive areas of the district still gives Hunter a healthy lead of 51% to 40%. All of these margins represent statistically significant leads.”

2018 Campaign CA-50

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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