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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Independent Voters May Be Key to a Wave

November 1, 2018 · 1:23 pm ET · Leave a Comment

GOP pollster Glen Borger tweets:

It’s clear that, in most places, Republicans have solved our September enthusiasm problem. What’s not clear is whether we’ve solved our problem with Independent voters. And that will be the difference between winning and losing in close races.

Amy Walter: “The most recent polling suggests that Republicans haven’t ‘solved’ their independent voter problem. The Marist/PBS poll showed Democrats leading among independents on the generic ballot by 10 points. The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows Democrats leading the generic by 14 points. This is in line with the last three midterm wave elections (2006, 2010, and 2014), in which the winning party carried independents by 12 to 19 points.”

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