Who Is Actually Voting Early?

The following post for members is by G. Elliot Morris of The Crosstab.

We’re nearing the point in the midterm cycle where we’ve reached a saturation of knowledge and data that can be used to craft expectations for election night. Like on a run, the early high of hitting our final mile has worn off, and we are waiting for the final sprint in our final sprint toward the finish line. In this short period of less-hurried thinking, let’s take stock of some early voting data and an assessment of district level polling, courtesy of the NYT Upshot live polling project.