Trump Could Face Re-Election During a Recession

John Harwood: “Beyond his legal problems, Donald Trump suddenly faces rising odds of becoming the first president to seek re-election during economic recession since Jimmy Carter.”

“Until now, Robert Mueller’s special counsel investigation has loomed as a singular threat to further erode the president’s standing… But the uncertainty on display in gyrating financial markets this week has darkened expectations for Trump’s last two years. In the fourth quarter of 2018, forecasters already see growth slowing from the 4.2 percent and 3.5 percent recorded in the second and third quarters, respectively.”