Political Wire

SubscribeSign in
  • Front Page
  • Trending News
  • Polling Dashboard
  • Trial Balloon
  • Membership
    • Subscribe
    • Sign In
  • Sign In
  • Contact Us
Theme
Text size

The Odds Are Against Trump In 2020

February 2, 2019 · 3:39 pm ET · Leave a Comment

David Axelrod tells the New Yorker that it will be very hard for President Trump to win re-election.

Said Axelrod: “He drew an inside straight in the last election and squeaked through in the upper Midwest, which showed real resistance to him in the midterm elections. If he were to lose Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, all of which had strong Democratic showings in 2018, he would lose the Presidency, and there’s not one state I can think of that Trump could add.”

He added: “That said, he should not be underestimated. He has a kind of feral genius for manipulating the media environment. We know there’s nothing that he wouldn’t do to win, so he will be working day and night to destroy whoever the nominee is, and he’s got a great talent for that. Trump did speak to a fundamental sense of jaundice out there about Washington politics as usual. And, to the degree that the nominee can be depicted as a representation of that, his chances improve. All that said, if you were betting today, you would not bet on Donald Trump.”

2020 Campaign

← PreviousNortham Insists He Was Not In Racist PhotoNext →Warren Gears Up for Campaign Kickoff

Latest on Political Wire

  • 7:32 pmHouse GOP Leaders Admit Redistricting Fell Short
  • 7:25 pmYoung Voters Turn Back to Democrats
  • 7:03 pmAshley Moody Comfortably Leads in Florida Senate Race
  • 7:01 pmKreiss-Tomkins Leads in Alaska Governor’s Race
  • 7:00 pmPalm Beach GOP Pulls Support for Accused Molestor

Front page →

Political Wire is reader-supported. Join for ad-free reading, member posts and new features →

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

More about Taegan Goddard →

Your Account

Members

For the full experience, sign in.

Become a Member

  • Join Political Wire
  • Gift a Membership

Members Only

  • Another Brutal Warning Sign for Republicans
  • Who’s Running Ken Paxton’s Campaign?
  • The Battleground Is Getting Much Bigger
  • One Chart That Explains the Midterm Elections
  • Weekly News Quiz

Word of the Day Political Dictionary

Straw Man

A “straw man” refers to an intentionally misrepresented proposition or argument that is set up because it is easier to defeat than an opponent’s real argument.

Read the definition →

Yesterday’s Word of the Day: Blue State

Show me a random term

Think You Know Politics?

  • The Way It Was →
  • Yea or Nay? →
  • Split Decision →
  • Pollster →

Copyright © 2026 · Goddard Media LLC

Political Wire® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC

Also from Goddard Media: Political Dictionary · Political Job Hunt · Electoral Vote Map

Privacy PolicyCorrections PolicyContact