Kyle Kondik at Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball offers an initial Electoral College forecast with 248 electoral votes leaning Republican, 244 leaning Democratic, and 46 votes in the Toss-up category.
Key takeaway: “Much of the electoral map is easy to allocate far in advance: About 70% of the total electoral votes come from states and districts that have voted for the same party in at least the last five presidential elections.”
“The omissions from the initial Toss-up category that readers may find most surprising are Florida and Michigan.”
Make your own assumptions with our new interactive Electoral Vote Map.
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