David Wasserman lists the five states that will decide President Trump’s fate in 2020: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida and Arizona.
White working-class voters dominate media portrayals of the first three, but the key variable common to the first four is African-American enthusiasm and turnout.
He also notes that Colorado/Virginia (exit stage left) and Iowa/Ohio (exit stage right) are no longer swing states.
Make your own assumptions on my new interactive Electoral Vote Map.


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