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Four Democrats Move Into Top Tier

July 21, 2019 · 10:51 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new CBS News poll across the early primary and caucus states finds Joe Biden leading the Democratic field with 25%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 20%, Kamala Harris at 16% and Bernie Sanders at 15%.

“If we consider a 15% threshold as the minimum support needed to win convention delegates, then across the early states, four candidates would meet that benchmark: Biden, Warren, Harris and Sanders.”

However, the contest “is tighter now among estimated delegates across early states, the true measure of the contest — delegates to the convention. By this measure, Warren is much closer to Biden due to stronger showings especially in very liberal areas.”

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Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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