Van Drew’s Seat No Longer a Toss Up

The Cook Political Report moves Rep. Jeff Van Drew’s seat from Toss Up to the Lean Republican column in the wake of his party switch, “and that might even be generous to Democrats.”

“In Democrats’ favor, it shouldn’t be hard for their nominee to raise national money against Van Drew, considering the outrage at his desertion. But fundamentally, this is a classic blue-collar, Obama-Trump district that the deeply-rooted Van Drew only won by single digits against an atrocious GOP nominee in a great Democratic year. Van Drew would begin as the favorite if he were to win the GOP nomination.”