Here’s What We Know About Iowa

Nate Cohn: “We don’t know the result, but I’m pretty sure that entrance polls were adjusted to match sample precinct results (not perfectly representative!), and it looks like a Sanders/Buttigieg race around 22.5% or so with Warren/Biden back at 16%, Klobuchar at 13%.”

“Anyway, 50 or whatever sample precincts aren’t perfect, and don’t account for realignment/SDEs. But it’s probably the best measure we have.”

David Wasserman: “Based on Sanders/Buttigieg memos, there’s virtually no question Sanders won the most caucus support in terms of initial preference. The race for final preference seems closer but leans Sanders; the race for most SDEs closer yet.“