Watch the Independents In New Hampshire

First Read: “In 2016, Bernie Sanders won a whopping 73 percent of these independent voters. But in our NBC News/Marist poll we released on Friday, Sanders was getting just 22 percent of them — compared with Buttigieg at 25 percent and Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren at 10 percent apiece.”

“What’s going on here? Well, because there isn’t a competitive GOP primary this year, you not only have pro-Bernie indies, you also have the GOP-leaning independents who backed John Kasich and Jeb Bush in 2016.”

“If Buttigieg is going to pull off the upset on Tuesday against Sanders — or at least make it close — it will be due to those independents. Ditto if Amy Klobuchar continues her momentum, especially after Friday night’s debate.”