The latest FiveThirtyEight forecast shows the odds of Bernie Sanders winning the Democratic nomination (37%) are now the same as no candidate winning a majority of delegates (37%.)
Odds of Contested Convention Rise
Limited-time offer
Try Political Wire Free for 60 days
Members get Talking Points analysis, Trending News, the Polling Dashboard, the Trial Balloon podcast, new site features and no ads.


?Political Trivia
Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
Play →
Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
Play →
Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
Play →
Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
Play →
Four questions a day.
Play →
A new game every day.