A Tight Race for President

A new Monmouth poll finds Joe Biden holds a negligible 3 point lead over Donald Trump in the race for president, 48% to 45%.

But this is the key takeaway: “In approximately 300 swing counties where the margin of victory was less than ten points for either candidate – accounting for about one-fifth of the total U.S. electorate – 50% back Biden compared with 41% who support Trump. In 2016, Clinton won the cumulative vote in these counties by a single percentage point.”

Said pollster Patrick Murray: “The race looks tight right now between Trump and the probable Democratic nominee. But as we learned in 2016, the outcome will be determined by the Electoral College rather than the national popular vote. The poll results suggest Biden may actually be starting out with an advantage in crucial swing areas of the country.”