New Forecast Shows Democrats Winning Electoral College

Rachel Bitecofer‘s latest forecast shows Democrats winning the Electoral College, 289 to 181 with 69 electoral votes still up for grabs.

“If Trump had political capital to spend heading into this crisis, that would be one thing. But after the Russia investigation was followed in short order by the Ukraine scandal, Trump’s political capital tank is already on empty, with few Americans outside of Republicans capable of trusting him. Trump will be heading into the fall with the dubious distinction of being the most embattled, controversial, and scandal-plagued president to seek reelection in the history of the republic — and that was before this virus emerged to create a massive public health disaster and destroy his strongest claim for reelection: the economy.”

As a comparison, the consensus electoral map shows a closer race with five states and 86 electoral votes up for grabs.