Third Party Vote Share Should Be Lower This Year

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Despite — or perhaps because of — the relatively high share of the vote third party candidates received in 2016, we expect the two major parties to have a better showing in 2020.”

“Voters generally feel better about their major party nominees this year than they did in 2016, leaving third party options with less of a raison d’etre.”

Also important: “The field of third party candidates this year doesn’t seem especially strong, and even when prominent names have launched third party bids recently, they’ve struggled to gain traction — even in their home states.”