First Read: “Maybe Joe Biden isn’t leading President Trump by 7 points in Arizona, as one poll showed yesterday. But Biden has been ahead of Trump in every Arizona poll released this year. And that Arizona advantage opens up more paths to 270 electoral votes for Biden — especially those that don’t require him to win Wisconsin.”
“Just take a look at these scenarios, assuming a battleground map with the toss-up states being Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (and giving Trump the single electoral votes in Maine’s second district and Nebraska’s second district):
- Biden wins AZ, MI, PA — but loses WI, FL and NC: Biden 279, Trump 259
- Biden wins AZ and FL — but loses MI, NC, PA and WI: Biden 272, Trump 266
- Biden wins AZ, NC and MI — but loses FL, PA and WI: Biden 274, Trump 264
Test the various paths on our interactive electoral map.
Earlier for members: Biden’s Best Path to 270 Doesn’t Include Wisconsin
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