Jessica Taylor notes that in the five U.S. Senate races the Cook Political Report currently rates as Toss Ups — Arizona, Colorado, Maine, Montana and North Carolina — Democrats outraised Republicans by about $42.6 million to $24.1 million in the second quarter — a difference of $18.5 million.
Jonathan Bernstein: “The longer this election cycle goes on, the better the prospects for Democrats have looked. Right now, they not only have raised more money, but actually have an apparent polling lead in all five of those toss-up races, according to the RealClearPolitics averages, although several states (especially Montana) have had limited surveys so far.”
“The Cook Report lists five more contests, including Alabama, as leaning Republican. If Trump really is down by nine points or so nationally, then it’s possible Democrats could pick off one or two of them…”
“The real blowout possibilities start to kick in if Trump slips a little more. Then it starts to look possible for Democrats to win four of the five lean-Republican seats, or even one or two of the four likely Republican contests. In that case, the possibility of an aggressive legislative agenda starts to look much more likely. “Save to Favorites