How 2020 Differs from 2016

Kyle Kondik: “Several national pollsters conducted surveys on the eve of the convention season in both 2016 and 2020. We compared them to see how the race was different from four years ago.”

“Compared to four years ago, the parties are more unified; Biden is leading with independents after Clinton and Trump were tied with them at this point; and more poll respondents support the major party candidates overall.”

“In other words, there are fewer undecideds and fewer voters saying they will vote third party.”