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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

New Forecast Pushes Biden Over 270 Electoral Votes

October 1, 2020 · 11:19 am ET · Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball moves four states towards the Democrats in their forecast, pushing Joe Biden over the 270 electoral votes he needs to win the presidency.

“Trailing nationally and in more than 270 electoral votes’ worth of states, Donald Trump needed more help from Tuesday night’s debate than Joe Biden did. We don’t think Trump did help himself, and it is possible that he actually made his path to a second term harder by demonstrating the poor behavior that seems to turn off so many voters.”

“Trump’s performance was so outrageous that it made us ponder whether we should make him a significantly bigger underdog in our ratings than he already has been.”

The consensus electoral map has also been updated.

2020 Campaign

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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