Harry Enten: “In the 21 previous presidential elections since 1936, there have only been five challengers who led at this time. Of those five, only one (Bill Clinton in 1992) was ahead by more than 5 points. None of those five were earning more than 48% of the vote in the polls.”
“In other words, Biden is the first challenger to be above 50% at this late juncture in the campaign.”
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