Political Wire

  • Front Page
  • Sign in
  • Members
    • Monthly – $6 a month
    • Annual – $60 a year
    • Member Benefits
    • Exclusive Analysis
    • Member Library
    • My Favorites
  • Resources
    • Political Calendar
    • Political Job Hunt
    • Political Dictionary
    • Electoral Vote Map
  • Advertise
  • Newsletter
  • Contact Us
You are here: Home / 2020 Campaign / House Districts Full of Danger Signs for Trump

House Districts Full of Danger Signs for Trump

October 21, 2020 at 8:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Wasserman: “In late October of 2016, district-level polling was full of flashing red warning signs for Hillary Clinton: from northern Wisconsin to New York’s Southern Tier and Michigan’s Upper Peninsula, single-digit leads for Donald Trump in September had expanded to double digits in heavily white working-class areas. And although much of this party polling was never released publicly, it turned out to be prescient.”

“Fast forward to 2020: district-level polls are full of danger signs for Trump. In both parties’ private surveys — used to make key resource allocation decisions — he’s routinely underperforming his 2016 margins by eight to ten points, consistent with national polls. As a result, one well-placed GOP member told us this week ‘it would be a pleasant surprise if we only lost ten House seats.'”

The Cook Political Report made 12 House race ratings changes, 11 of them towards the Democrats.

FavoriteLoadingSave to Favorites
Share on TwitterShare on FacebookShare on LinkedInShare on Email

Filed Under: 2020 Campaign

Recent Posts

Senate Overwhelmingly Passes Asian Hate Bill

April 22, 2021 at 3:21 pm EDT

The Senate passed with a wide bipartisan majority Thursday a bill denouncing discrimination against Asian communities in the United States, CNN reports. The vote was 94-1. The lone vote in…

How Trump Stalled $20 Billion in Relief for Puerto Rico

April 22, 2021 at 3:00 pm EDTApril 22, 2021 at 2:12 pm EDT

Washington Post: “The Trump administration put up bureaucratic obstacles that stalled approximately $20 billion in hurricane relief for Puerto Rico and then obstructed an investigation into the holdup, according to…

My Day with Walter Mondale

April 22, 2021 at 2:31 pm EDTApril 22, 2021 at 2:33 pm EDT

This piece is only available to Political Wire members. Your support makes this site possible. Join today for the complete Political Wire experience and get exclusive analysis, new features and…

Support for Making Voting Easier Plunges with GOP Voters

April 22, 2021 at 2:20 pm EDTApril 22, 2021 at 2:39 pm EDT

A new Pew Research poll finds there has been a sharp decline in the share of Republicans who support automatically registering all eligible citizens to vote — 38% today vs….

Democrats Want Amy Coney Barrett to Recuse Herself

April 22, 2021 at 2:08 pm EDT

NPR: “Democratic members of the House and Senate Judiciary committees are asking U.S. Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett to recuse herself from participating in a case involving a conservative…

Liz Cheney Was Lectured for Hours on GOP Feelings

April 22, 2021 at 2:00 pm EDTApril 22, 2021 at 2:02 pm EDT

New York Times: “That Cheney was willing to face Trump’s wrath called attention to the fact that most of them were not — a factor in the aggrievement directed at…

Texas Candidate Implies He Has Trump’s Endorsement

April 22, 2021 at 1:51 pm EDT

Former pro-wrestler Dan Rodimer (R) is drawing Team Trump’s ire with ads designed to falsely imply the ex-president’s backing in a Texas special election, Axios reports. “Trump did endorse Rodimer…

New Jobless Claims Fall Again

April 22, 2021 at 1:45 pm EDT

Associated Press: “The number of Americans applying for unemployment aid fell last week to 547,000, the lowest point since the pandemic struck and an encouraging sign that layoffs are slowing…

Republicans Offer $568 Billion Infrastructure Plan

April 22, 2021 at 1:20 pm EDT

“Senior Senate Republicans offered a $568 billion counter to President Joe Biden’s $2.25 trillion jobs package Thursday, one that’s focused on more traditional infrastructure like roads and bridges and doesn’t…

Herschel Walker Freezes Senate GOP Field In Georgia

April 22, 2021 at 1:14 pm EDT

“Former President Donald Trump’s backing of football great Herschel Walker to run for the Georgia Senate seat has been enough to effectively freeze the GOP field in place — even…

Ronna McDaniel Floats Possible Run for Governor

April 22, 2021 at 1:11 pm EDTApril 22, 2021 at 1:12 pm EDT

RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel told party officials that she’s considered stepping down from her post to challenge Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) in 2022, Politico reports. “How serious McDaniel is…

Teenagers Disillusioned But Motivated to Get Involved

April 22, 2021 at 1:00 pm EDTApril 22, 2021 at 10:20 am EDT

New York Times: “Research shows that a voting generation is typically shaped for life by what happens politically in their teen years and early 20s. What have teenagers taken away…

The Stupidest Debate In Washington

April 22, 2021 at 12:30 pm EDTApril 22, 2021 at 11:50 am EDT

Jonathan Bernstein: “Here comes the stupidest debate in Washington again. Yup: It’s the debt limit, which will need to be raised sometime this summer or fall.” “Everything about this process…

House Passes D.C. Statehood Bill

April 22, 2021 at 12:16 pm EDT

The House has passed the bill to make the District of Columbia the 51st US state, in a vote of 216 to 208. The vote fell exactly along party lines…

The Vaccines Are Working

April 22, 2021 at 12:00 pm EDTApril 22, 2021 at 9:31 am EDT

“It is easy to feel as if the coronavirus pandemic is getting out of control again. The rate of new cases hit a record last week, with 5.2m people around…

U.S. Likely to Resume Use of J&J Vaccine

April 22, 2021 at 11:31 am EDT

“Federal health authorities are leaning toward recommending that use of the Johnson & Johnson coronavirus vaccine resume, possibly as soon as this weekend — a move that would include a…

Tennessee Lawmakers Move to Ban Requiring Vaccines

April 22, 2021 at 11:11 am EDT

The Tennessee House of Representatives passed a bill banning state and local governments from requiring COVID-19 vaccines, The Hill reports. Save to FavoritesShare on TwitterShare on FacebookShare on LinkedInShare on…

Pompeo Seeks to ‘Stay Relevant’ for 2024

April 22, 2021 at 11:00 am EDTApril 22, 2021 at 9:23 am EDT

“Mike Pompeo is leveraging relationships with House Republicans to stay front and center with GOP voters as the former secretary of state mulls a 2024 presidential bid,” the Washington Examiner…

Bonus Quote of the Day

April 22, 2021 at 10:42 am EDT

“For the GOP, Trump is like a fire, too close and you get burned, too far away and you are out in the cold.” — GOP operative Ed Rogers, quoted…

Biden to Raise Taxes on Rich to Fund Child Care, Education

April 22, 2021 at 10:30 am EDTApril 22, 2021 at 10:33 am EDT

“The next phase of President Biden’s $4 trillion push to overhaul the American economy will raise taxes on millionaire investors to fund education and other spending plans, but it will…

« Trump Has Contributed Only $8,000 to His Campaign
McConnell Maintains Big Lead In Kentucky »

Your Account

Sign in

Latest for Members

  • My Day with Walter Mondale
  • The Trumpists Purge Another Non-Believer

About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Praise for Political Wire

“There are a lot of blogs and news sites claiming to understand politics, but only a few actually do. Political Wire is one of them.”

— Chuck Todd, host of “Meet the Press”

“Concise. Relevant. To the point. Political Wire is the first site I check when I’m looking for the latest political nugget. That pretty much says it all.”

— Stuart Rothenberg, editor of the Rothenberg Political Report

“Political Wire is one of only four or five sites that I check every day and sometimes several times a day, for the latest political news and developments.”

— Charlie Cook, editor of the Cook Political Report

“The big news, delicious tidbits, pearls of wisdom — nicely packaged, constantly updated… What political junkie could ask for more?”

— Larry Sabato, Center for Politics, University of Virginia

“Political Wire is a great, great site.”

— Joe Scarborough, host of MSNBC’s “Morning Joe”

“Taegan Goddard has a knack for digging out political gems that too often get passed over by the mainstream press, and for delivering the latest electoral developments in a sharp, no frills style that makes his Political Wire an addictive blog habit you don’t want to kick.”

— Arianna Huffington, founder of The Huffington Post

“Political Wire is one of the absolute must-read sites in the blogosphere.”

— Glenn Reynolds, founder of Instapundit

“I rely on Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire for straight, fair political news, he gets right to the point. It’s an eagerly anticipated part of my news reading.”

— Craig Newmark, founder of Craigslist.

Copyright © 2021 · Goddard Media LLC | Privacy Policy

Political Wire ® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC